Match Info

AFC Champions League 2 - Round 6

Date: 24 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Margao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Finland	Veikkaus TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
World	Onefootball


	Goa		Istiklol Dushanbe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.25	4.15	1.62
	4.66	5.06	1.52	Watch
	4	4.33	1.53	Watch
	4	4	1.76	Watch
	4.2	4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (2.69)	4.31 ↑ (3.85)	1.62 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Goa
21.8%

Draw
21.4%

Istiklol Dushanbe
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

24.1%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

23%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Goa's form might have worsened.

Istiklol Dushanbe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Istiklol Dushanbe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goa than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Goa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istiklol Dushanbe than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Istiklol Dushanbe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Goa - Istiklol Dushanbe Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Istiklol will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Istiklol: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Istiklol (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Istiklol Dushanbe will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Istiklol (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sharma L. (G) 17. Singh B. 30. Tamang N. 4. Moreno P. 27. Sangwan A. 71. Drazic D. 21. Singh U. 22. Vishwas P. 23. Patre H. 44. Nemil M. 34. Guarrotxena I. (C)	1. Stosic N. (C) 55. Safarov M. 4. Chobanov M. 5. Kurbonov S. 95. Turkaj R. 11. Rakhimov M. 8. Haghnazari S. 6. Juraboev A. 17. Pandzhshanbe E. 43. Komolafe P. 9. Soirov R.
Substitutes
41. Carvalho S. 42. Fernandes B. 45. Jackson B. (G) 18. Lalrinzuala J. 47. Malsawmtluanga L. 77. Rabeeh A K A. 55. Tiwari H. (G) 10. Yasir M.	28. Gafurov M. 66. Kamolov R. 99. Khasanov M. (G) 19. Nazarov A. 70. Sulaymonov S. 15. Suslov K.
Coaches
Marquez M.	Cherevchenko I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Drazic D. ⚽,
29', Pandzhshanbe E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Turkaj R. ↓, Nazarov A. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Komolafe P. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Juraboev A. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Vishwas P. ↓, Fernandes B. ↑,
59', Patre H. ↓, Rabeeh A K A. ↑,
70', Kurbonov S. 🟨,
73', Singh B. 🟨,
75', Kurbonov S. 🟨,
77', Soirov R. ↓, Suslov K. ↑,
82', Nemil M. ↓, Yasir M. ↑,
86', Haghnazari S. ↓, Sulaymonov S. ↑,
90+2', Singh B. ↓, Malsawmtluanga L. ↑,
90+3', Tamang N. ↓, Carvalho S. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Istiklol will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Goa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Goa
Indian Super Cup
07.12.25	East Bengal - Goa	0:1 penalties ✺
04.12.25	Goa - Mumbai City	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
26.11.25	Al-Zawraa - Goa	2:1 ✺
05.11.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Goa	4:0 ✺
Indian Super Cup
01.11.25	Goa - NorthEast United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLL
- Istiklol Dushanbe
Tajik League
08.12.25	Vakhsh Qurghonteppa - Istiklol Dushanbe	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Khosilot Farkhor - Istiklol Dushanbe	0:9 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
26.11.25	Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:4 ✺
Tajik League
10.11.25	Istiklol Dushanbe - Eskhata Khujand	6:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
05.11.25	Al-Zawraa - Istiklol Dushanbe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League 2
01.10.25	Istiklol Dushanbe - Goa	2:0

Upcoming Matches