Match Info

BRAZIL: GOIANO - ROUND 9

Date: 14 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)


	Goiás		Goianésia

	1	X	2
	1.26	4.5	11
	1.28	5	11	Watch
	1.28	4.92	9.95
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.25	5.1	12.2
	1.26	4.6	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.37)	4.72 ↑ (4)	10.28 ↑ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
71.6%

Draw
19.4%

Goianésia
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

22.6%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

21.4%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Goiás's performance.

Goianésia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goianésia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Goiás - Goianésia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (C) 11. Allano 18. Breno Herculano 19. Diego Caito 4. Edu 8. Juninho 7. Paulo Baya 6. Sander 10. Torres I. 5. Wellington 3. Yan Souto	12. Michael (G) 9. Aguiar L. 14. Anderson Sobral 2. Ferrugem 8. Gabriel Henrique 7. Kesley 3. Lucas Barboza 4. Railon 5. Vinicius 6. Vinicius Paiva 10. Zotti
Substitutes
13. Anthony 16. Cristiano 9. Denzel 20. Diego 15. Jhonny Lucas 25. Luiz Henrique 22. Matheusinho 21. Mina 14. Nathan Melo 17. Pedro Junqueira 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 2. Weverton	20. Caio Rangel 19. Flavio Torres 15. Gabriel Pierini 25. Hiago 18. Isaias 16. Kaua 17. Luis Gustavo 13. Nilo 22. Oliveira 21. Richard Luca 1. Wallace (G) 11. Zizu

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Goiás won 4.

Goiás is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Goianésia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Goiás is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Goiás to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Goiás won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 28-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Goiás won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
10.02.24	Goiás - Jataiense	4:1 ✺
07.02.24	Morrinhos - Goiás	0:3 ✺
04.02.24	Goiás - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
31.01.24	Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano - Goiás	0:2 ✺
27.01.24	Aparecidense - Goiás	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWTWT
- Goianésia
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
10.02.24	Goianésia - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
07.02.24	Aparecidense - Goianésia	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Goiânia - Goianésia	1:0 ✺
31.01.24	Goianésia - Jataiense	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Morrinhos - Goianésia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
08.02.23	Goiás - Goianésia	2:0
12.02.22	Goiás - Goianésia	2:0
09.02.22	Goianésia - Goiás	3:4
18.04.21	Goianésia - Goiás	1:1
03.03.21	Goiás - Goianésia	1:0
28.01.21	Goianésia - Goiás	2:3
08.02.20	Goiás - Goianésia	1:1

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