Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 4 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)


	Goiás		Independiente Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.5	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.3
	2.23	3.05	3.5
	2.37	2.98	3.48
	2.2	2.88	3.4
	2.25	3.1	3.42	Watch
	2.26	3.05	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.9)	3.02 ↓ (3.42)	3.41 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
41.5%

Draw
31%

Independiente Santa Fe
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

27.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Goiás's form might have worsened.

Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Goiás, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Goiás - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goiás: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Goiás is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santa Fe is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santa Fe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Santa Fe have a series of home games.

Goiás will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
02.04.23	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
29.03.23	Goiás - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	Cuiabá - Goiás	1:0 ✺
23.03.23	Goiás - Brasiliense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
20.03.23	Goiás - Anápolis	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWW
- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
31.03.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Boyacá Chicó	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios	1:2 ✺
22.03.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Cali	3:0 ✺
18.03.23	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
14.03.23	Independiente Santa Fe - América de Cali	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWTW

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