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Current Win Probability
Independiente Santa Fe 28.9%
Draw 31.5%
América de Cali 39.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.7%
29.4%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
30.3%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Santa Fe's form might have worsened.
América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting América de Cali's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for América de Cali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independiente Santa Fe - América de Cali Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
1X2, 1st Half - América de Cali (3.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. América de Cali (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Asprilla W. (G) 13. Palacios H. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. (C) 35. Balanta K. 24. Angulo J. 14. Palacios L. 7. Torres J. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D. 17. Lovera M. 19. Bustos N. 9. Fagundez F.
1. Jean (G) 26. Hurtado Torres Y. D. 24. Tovar C. 3. Rosero D. 30. Bertel O. 23. Quinones L. 15. Carrascal R. (C) 5. Escobar J. 77. Tortolero E. 21. Angel T. 10. Guzman Y.
Substitutes
31. Espitia J. (G) 77. Obrian J. 18. Olivera E. 39. Portocarrero C. 4. Puerta M. 11. Rodallega H. 25. Rodriguez E. 10. Zapata A. 42. Zuniga J.
29. Amu C. 35. Angulo K. 6. Cavadia J. 17. Lucumi J. 14. Mina M. 12. Montoya J. (G) 7. Murillo J. 18. Quintero Y. 20. Ramos A. 2. Torres M.
Coaches
Repetto P.
Gonzalez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Carrascal R. 🟨,
33', Fagundez F. 🟨,
38', Quinones L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Tortolero E. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
62', Bustos N. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
62', Lovera M. ↓, Rodallega H. ↑,
65', Balanta K. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
66', Palacios L. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
74', Lucumi J. 🟨,
78', Quinones L. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
78', Angel T. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
82', Toscano Bassa K. D. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
89', Bertel O. ↓, Mina M. ↑,
89', Carrascal R. ↓, Quintero Y. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 2.
Santa Fe is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
América de Cali is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Santa Fe has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 1.8:0.6).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
America De Cali
12
8
3
1
24:7
17
27
5
Santa Fe
12
6
4
2
19:12
7
22
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente Santa Fe - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.75%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.