Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (Barranquilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Russia	Viju+ Sport
Usa	Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play


	Junior Barranquilla		Independiente Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.66	3.70	4.50
	1.65	3.6	4.9	Watch
	1.71	3.85	5.21
	1.63	3.96	5.05	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.95
	1.77	3.99	4.63	Watch
	1.66	3.7	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.92)	3.81 ↑ (3.4)	4.87 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Junior Barranquilla
56%

Draw
24.7%

Independiente Santa Fe
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

27.8%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Junior Barranquilla's performance.

Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Junior (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Junior Barranquilla will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silveira M. (C) 34. Socarras D. 24. Pestana J. 98. Pena J. 26. Suarez Y. 14. Rios J. 80. Angel Bernal F. S. 20. Sarmiento J. 10. Muriel L. 88. Castrillon B. 19. Fydriszewski F.	12. Asprilla W. (C) 4. Puerta M. 18. Olivera E. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 24. Angulo J. 7. Torres J. 21. Murillo E. 14. Palacios L. 9. Fagundez F. 17. Lovera M. 19. Bustos N.
Substitutes
25. Caicedo D. 21. Canchimbo J. 29. Gutierrez T. 3. Herrera E. 30. Martinez J. (G) 9. Paiva G. 18. Perez K. 22. Rivas J. 6. Villarreal D.	40. Cuesta M. 31. Espitia J. (G) 32. Mafla C. 3. Moreno V. 77. Obrian J. 13. Palacios H. 39. Portocarrero C. 25. Rodriguez E. 16. Torres D.
Coaches
Arias A.	Repetto P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Murillo E. 🟨,
21', Castrillon B. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
43', Bustos N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sarmiento J. ↓, Caicedo D. ↑,
46', Murillo E. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
58', Muriel L. 🟨,
59', Bustos N. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
59', Pestana J. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
59', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Muriel L. ⚽, Paiva G. (A),
69', Palacios L. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
69', Puerta M. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
87', Canchimbo J. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Fagundez F. ⚽, Lovera M. (A),
90', Torres J. ↓, Portocarrero C. ↑,
90+7', Silveira M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 1.

Junior is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Santa Fe is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Junior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Santa Fe has had a series of home games.

In this match, Junior is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Santa Fe	12	6	4	2	19:12	7	22
17	Junior	12	2	4	6	18:22	-4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Junior Barranquilla - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 49.19%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
26.08.26	América de Cali - Junior Barranquilla	4:2 ✺
23.08.26	Junior Barranquilla - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Junior Barranquilla - Millonarios	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
29.07.26	Barranquilla - Junior Barranquilla	4:3 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.07.26	Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Independiente Santa Fe
Copa Sudamericana
26.08.26	River Plate - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
22.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - América de Cali	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - River Plate	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
08.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
05.08.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Unión Magdalena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
23.05.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 penalties
16.05.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla	1:1
22.02.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla	2:1
Colombian Super Cup
21.01.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla	3:0
15.01.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1
Colombian Primera A
29.10.25	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2
10.05.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla	2:1

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