The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Santa Fe 48.2%
Draw 28.9%
Deportivo Cali 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
30.5%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
31.1%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Santa Fe's performance.
Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Cali might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Cali could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
42.9%
0%
Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Cali Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mosquera A. (G) 13. Palacios H. 18. Olivera E. 3. Moreno V. 32. Mafla C. 7. Torres J. 77. Obrian J. 16. Torres D. 9. Fagundez F. 10. Zapata A. 11. Rodallega H. (C)
38. Rodriguez A. (G) 27. Viafara F. 12. Caldera Alvis J. C. 4. Alvarez F. 28. Velasco E. 15. Chaverra L. 5. Cuellar G. (C) 8. Giraldo D. 20. Bello E. 19. Martinez J. 9. Dinenno J.
Substitutes
24. Angulo J. 12. Asprilla W. (G) 19. Bustos N. 43. Caicedo J. 17. Lovera M. 14. Palacios L. 39. Portocarrero C. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D.
70. Bacca C. 14. Manyoma A. 43. Martinez S. 32. Mondragon S. (G) 2. Moya J. 10. Reynoso E. 16. Sandoval K. 26. Tello J. 23. Titi
Coaches
Repetto P.
Dudamel R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Chaverra L. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Bello E. ⚽, Martinez J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Zapata A. ↓, Lovera M. ↑,
64', Dinenno J. 🟨,
65', Dinenno J. ↓, Titi ↑,
66', Torres J. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,
74', Moreno V. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
74', Obrian J. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
74', Mafla C. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
76', Bello E. ↓, Reynoso E. ↑,
76', Martinez J. ↓, Manyoma A. ↑,
76', Toscano Bassa K. D. 🟨,
87', Torres D. 🟥,
89', Giraldo D. ↓, Moya J. ↑,
90+5', Fagundez F. 🟨,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 8th in the Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 4.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Santa Fe may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Santa Fe is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Santa Fe has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:19 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Santa Fe against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 13:6 goals (averaging 1.4:0.7 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Dep. Cali
13
7
4
2
20:9
11
25
5
Santa Fe
12
6
4
2
19:12
7
22
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente Santa Fe - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38.07%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Belarus
Colombia
Russia
South-america
Usa
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Mosquera A. (G) 
Olivera E. 
Fagundez F. 
Bello E. 
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