Match Info

BRAZIL: Goiano - Round 7

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Pedro Ludovico (Goiânia)


	Goiânia		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	4.6	3	1.73
	4.6	3.15	1.72
	4.63	3.45	1.8
	4.91	3.34	1.71	Watch
	4.8	3	1.75
	4.94	3.23	1.8
	4.6	3.15	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↑ (4.58)	3.19 ↓ (3.37)	1.75 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiânia
19.3%

Draw
28.6%

Vila Nova
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

26.9%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

26.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Goiânia aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Goiânia - Vila Nova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G)
	18. Arilson
	4. Bernardo Schappo
	10. Diego Torres
	2. Elias
	9. Gabriel Poveda
	7. Gustavo Paje
	5. Joao Vieira
	11. Vinicius Paiva
	3. Walisson Maia
	13. Willian Formiga
Substitutes
	14. Caixeta R.
	21. Carlos Miguel
	22. Delfino M.
	17. Joao Caixeta
	1. Kaua P. (G)
	96. Labandeira F.
	19. Lucas Gabriel
	23. Marcos Rondon
	15. Vieira G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Marcelinho Junior 🟨,
21', Elias 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Bernardo Schappo ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Marcelinho Junior ↓, Araujo da Silva S. ↑,
46', Patrick Felipe ↓, Zotti ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Araujo da Silva S. (Pen),
58', Gustavo Paje ↓, Joao Caixeta ↑,
59', Elias ↓, Marcos Rondon ↑,
59', Alex Nemetz ↓, Hebert ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Zotti ⚽,
69', 3 - 1, Wandinho ⚽,
70', 🟨,
73', Jackson ↓, Vital ↑,
74', Wandinho ↓, Adriel ↑,
75', Felipe Mosquete 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Goiano 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Goiânia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vila Nova in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vila Nova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Vila Nova have a series of home games.

In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Goiânia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:12 (average 0.8:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Goiânia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiânia EC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
01.02.25	Goiânia - Jataiense	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Anápolis - Goiânia	4:1 ✺
25.01.25	Goiânia - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
22.01.25	Goiás - Goiânia	3:0 ✺
19.01.25	Goiânia - Atlético Goianiense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLTLL
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Copa Verde
04.02.25	Vila Nova - Luverdense	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
02.02.25	Vila Nova - Goiás	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Vila Nova - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova	1:3 ✺
23.01.25	Vila Nova - Goianésia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
19.02.24	Vila Nova - Goiânia	2:1
11.01.23	Vila Nova - Goiânia	3:0
28.01.21	Vila Nova - Goiânia	6:0
09.02.20	Goiânia - Vila Nova	2:1

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