Match Info

Serie B - Round 16

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: Vollkopf P. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Disney+, Xsports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Goiás		Ceará

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	3.2	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.40
	2.28	2.92	3.3	Watch
	2.46	2.96	3.49
	2.35	2.91	3.4
	2.25	2.95	3.6
	2.3	2.98	3.34	Watch
	2.28	2.95	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.28)	2.95 ↓ (3.15)	3.38 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
40.6%

Draw
31.7%

Ceará
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

28.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Goiás - Ceará Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goiás: 82% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 2. Rodrigo Soares 3. Luiz Felipe 4. Ramon Menezes 54. Djalma Silva 5. Filipe Machado 8. Juninho (C) 21. Jean Carlos 10. Lucas Lima 40. Kadu 18. Cadu	1. Richard (G) 18. Julio Cesar 4. Luiz Otavio 33. Eder 31. Bryan Borges 26. Richardson (C) 81. Joao Gabriel 12. Sanchez 40. Melk 99. Lucca 98. Matheusinho
Substitutes
9. Anselmo Ramon 55. Baldoria 88. Brayann 20. Diego Caito 12. Ezequiel (G) 15. Garcia E. 77. Halerrandrio 14. Lucas Ribeiro 25. Luisao 32. Murillo (G) 6. Nicolas	94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 88. Caio 60. Enzo Lodovico 17. Fernando 71. Gabriel Rocha 90. Kaua Ziegler 13. Luiz Otavio 8. Matheus Araujo 80. Pedro Esli 2. Ramos R. 9. Wendel Silva
Coaches
Mozart	Gomes F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Kadu ⚽, Lucas Lima (A),
22', Filipe Machado 🟨,
26', Filipe Machado ↓, Baldoria ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bryan Borges 🟨,
58', Jean Carlos ↓, Diego Caito ↑,
65', Luiz Otavio ↓, Enzo Lodovico ↑,
65', Lucca ↓, Wendel Silva ↑,
67', Kadu 🟨,
69', Rodrigo Soares ↓, Lucas Ribeiro ↑,
69', Djalma Silva ↓, Nicolas ↑,
69', Cadu ↓, Anselmo Ramon ↑,
74', Richardson ↓, Matheus Araujo ↑,
75', Bryan Borges ↓, Kaua Ziegler ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Juninho ⚽, Anselmo Ramon (A),
82', Fernando ↓, Ramos R. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 1.

Goiás has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ceará has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Goiás is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Goiás: Gege (Injury) Tadeu (Inactive)

There will not play in Ceará: Alex Silva (Injury) Juan Alano (Injury) Ronald Carvalho (Muscle Injury) Vina (Injury) Vinicius Zanocelo (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Goiás: Lourenco (Inactive)

There are questionable in Ceará: Gustavo Prado (Injury) Lucas Lima (Injury) Pedro Henrique (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Goiás won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Goias	32	13	6	13	32:40	-8	45
15	Ceara	31	10	9	12	34:39	-5	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
28.06.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Goiás	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Goiás - Operário Ferroviario	0:3 ✺
14.06.26	Athletic Club - Goiás	1:1 ✺
10.06.26	Goiás - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:4 ✺
30.05.26	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLTLT
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
28.06.26	Juventude - Ceará	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Ceará - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
15.06.26	Criciúma - Ceará	1:1 ✺
10.06.26	Ceará - Avaí	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Ceará - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
12.08.24	Goiás - Ceará	2:1
20.04.24	Ceará - Goiás	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
05.10.22	Ceará - Goiás	1:1
12.06.22	Goiás - Ceará	1:1
21.01.21	Goiás - Ceará	0:4
27.09.20	Ceará - Goiás	2:2
06.10.19	Ceará - Goiás	0:1

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