Match Info

Serie B - Round 15

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN


	Juventude		Ceará

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.10	5.50	Watch
	1.82	3.10	4.50
	1.87	3.25	4.30	Watch
	1.89	3.30	4.94
	2.05	3.13	3.89	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4.85
	1.76	3.12	5.53	Watch
	1.83	3.10	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.99)	3.17 ↓ (3.18)	4.78 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Juventude
50.8%

Draw
29.6%

Ceará
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

29.4%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

28.5%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Juventude - Ceará Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Jandrei (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 4. Messias 47. Marcos Paulo 13. Aderlan 75. Rai Silva 8. Lucas Mineiro 16. Diogo Barbosa 11. Fabio Lima 10. MP 25. Alisson Safira	1. Richard (C) 2. Ramos R. 4. Luiz Otavio 18. Julio Cesar 12. Sanchez 40. Melk 80. Pedro Esli 71. Gabriel Rocha 81. Joao Gabriel 98. Matheusinho 99. Lucca
Substitutes
20. Allanzinho 17. Castro M. 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 5. Luan Martins 26. Ly I. 44. Mandaca 30. Patryck 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 2. Rai Ramos 27. Ray Breno 3. Titi 6. Wadson	94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 31. Bryan Borges 88. Caio 60. Enzo Lodovico 17. Fernando 90. Kaua Ziegler 13. Luiz Otavio 8. Matheus Araujo 26. Richardson 45. Vini Uchella 9. Wendel Silva
Coaches
Mauricio Barbieri	Gomes F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Diogo Barbosa ↓, Gabriel Pinheiro ↑,
26', 1 - 0, Alisson Safira ⚽, Marcos Paulo (A),
34', 2 - 0, Gabriel Pinheiro ⚽, Rai Silva (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pedro Esli ↓, Caio ↑,
63', Joao Gabriel ↓, Luiz Otavio ↑,
63', Ramos R. ↓, Enzo Lodovico ↑,
64', MP ↓, Mandaca ↑,
64', Rai Silva ↓, Castro M. ↑,
67', Matheusinho ↓, Kaua Ziegler ↑,
68', Enzo Lodovico 🟨,
78', Alisson Safira ↓, Wadson ↑,
78', Fabio Lima ↓, Luan Martins ↑,
78', Melk ↓, Wendel Silva ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 4.

In recent matches, Juventude has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ceará is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Juventude may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Juventude is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Juventude: Alan Kardec (Injury) Alan Ruschel (Muscle Injury) Pablo Roberto (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Ceará: Alex Silva (Inactive) Eder (Yellow Cards) Juan Alano (Inactive) Ronald Carvalho (Muscle Injury) Vina (Inactive) Vinicius Zanocelo (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Ceará: Gustavo Prado (Inactive) Lucas Lima (Inactive) Pedro Henrique (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1:0.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juventude	32	17	8	7	37:19	18	59
15	Ceara	31	10	9	12	34:39	-5	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
21.06.26	São Bernardo - Juventude	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	Juventude - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
05.06.26	Operário Ferroviario - Juventude	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Juventude - América Mineiro	3:0 ✺
23.05.26	Juventude - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWL
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
20.06.26	Ceará - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
15.06.26	Criciúma - Ceará	1:1 ✺
10.06.26	Ceará - Avaí	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Ceará - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ceará	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
30.08.25	Ceará - Juventude	0:1
12.04.25	Juventude - Ceará	2:1
Brazilian Serie B
25.11.23	Ceará - Juventude	1:3
23.07.23	Juventude - Ceará	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
13.11.22	Ceará - Juventude	4:1
24.07.22	Juventude - Ceará	1:0
23.10.21	Juventude - Ceará	0:0

Upcoming Matches