Match Info

Serie B - Round 13

Date: 15 June 2026, Monday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Criciúma		Ceará

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.25	5.25	Watch
	1.93	3.10	3.90
	1.8	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.8	3.4	5.37
	1.84	3.21	4.82	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.8
	1.78	3.22	4.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.98)	3.21 ↑ (3.05)	4.84 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
51.7%

Draw
29%

Ceará
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

30.2%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

29%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	10.5%	0%

Criciúma - Ceará Predictions

Users Predictions: Criciúma will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Criciúma will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Airton (G) 34. Bruno Alves 3. Rodrigo (C) 37. Cesar Martins 97. Willean Lepo 5. Eduardo 8. Gui Lobo 200. Marcelo Hermes 91. Otero R. 7. Fellipe Mateus 13. Waguininho	1. Richard (C) 4. Luiz Otavio 63. Gilmar 33. Eder 2. Ramos R. 18. Julio Cesar 81. Joao Gabriel 17. Fernando 40. Melk 83. Gabriel Amaral 12. Sanchez
Substitutes
1. Alisson (G) 88. Caue Santos 77. Diego Goncalves 31. Hiago Alves 10. Jhonata Robert 17. Lucas Bugs 6. Marcinho 9. Nicolas 70. Pedro Santos (G) 11. Romarinho 43. Ruan Carvalho 50. Thiaguinho	94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 60. Enzo Lodovico 35. Giulio 99. Lucca 13. Luiz Otavio 8. Matheus Araujo 98. Matheusinho 80. Pedro Esli 26. Richardson 45. Vini Uchella
Coaches
Eduardo Baptista	Batatais A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Julio Cesar ↓, Richardson ↑,
25', 1 - 0, Fellipe Mateus ⚽, Waguininho (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Fernando ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
60', Gabriel Amaral ↓, Lucca ↑,
61', Waguininho ↓, Caue Santos ↑,
62', Otero R. ↓, Diego Goncalves ↑,
76', Ramos R. ↓, Enzo Lodovico ↑,
76', Gilmar ↓, Pedro Esli ↑,
79', Fellipe Mateus ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Joao Gabriel ⚽, Matheusinho (A),
86', Eduardo ↓, Nicolas ↑,
87', Bruno Alves ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 0.

Criciúma is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Ceará has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ceará has had a series of home games.

In this match, Criciúma is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Criciúma: Luciano Castan (Yellow Cards) Octavio Henrique (Muscle Injury) Yuri Tanque (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Ceará: Alex Silva (Inactive) Ronald Carvalho (Muscle Injury) Vinicius Zanocelo (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Criciúma: Airton (Inactive) Jean Irmer (Injury)

There are questionable in Ceará: Lucca (Shoulder Injury) Pedro Henrique (Inactive) Vina (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Criciuma: 5.88% Ceara: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Criciuma	31	15	8	8	33:27	6	53
15	Ceara	31	10	9	12	34:39	-5	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
06.06.26	Criciúma - Londrina	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Avaí - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Operário Ferroviario - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Juventude - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWTTT
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
10.06.26	Ceará - Avaí	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Ceará - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ceará	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Ceará - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.05.26	Ceará - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
02.09.23	Ceará - Criciúma	1:0
21.05.23	Criciúma - Ceará	1:2
18.11.17	Criciúma - Ceará	1:1
01.08.17	Ceará - Criciúma	3:1
08.11.16	Criciúma - Ceará	2:3
16.07.16	Ceará - Criciúma	1:0
17.10.15	Criciúma - Ceará	3:0

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