Match Info

Serie B - Round 26

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, SportyNet
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Goiás		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.85	2.7	Watch
	2.45	2.90	2.85
	2.62	2.85	2.8	Watch
	2.82	3	2.95
	2.67	2.88	2.93
	2.75	2.9	2.85
	2.76	2.91	2.76	Watch
	2.65	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.35)	2.9 ↓ (3.1)	2.83 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
34.8%

Draw
32.2%

Fortaleza
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

31.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Goiás, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Goiás - Fortaleza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Fortaleza (1.94) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (C) 25. Luisao 3. Luiz Felipe 14. Lucas Ribeiro 54. Djalma Silva 97. Lourenco 5. Filipe Machado 21. Jean Carlos 35. Luquinhas 40. Kadu 11. Felipe Clemente	1. Joao Ricardo (C) 22. Mailton 3. Lucas Gazal 6. Cardona T. 13. Mauricio Junior 88. Lucas Sasha 5. Pierre 75. Rodriguinho 11. Vitinho 9. Miritello J. B. 16. Pedro Henrique
Substitutes
55. Baldoria 18. Cadu 66. Danilo Cunha 28. Gege 77. Halerrandrio 8. Juninho 63. Marcos Vinicius 29. Murilo Camara 17. Pedrinho 4. Ramon Menezes 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 27. Wellington Rato	12. Henrique Kaio 4. Luan Freitas 10. Lucas Crispim 17. Nathan Fogaca 23. Neris 28. Paulinho 77. Paulo Baya 29. Rodrigo 8. Ronald 37. Ryan 25. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 31. Welliton
Coaches
Mozart	Autuori P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Luiz Felipe 🟥,
15', Felipe Clemente ↓, Ramon Menezes ↑,
16', Pierre ↓, Ryan ↑,
40', Mauricio Junior 🟨,
42', Cardona T. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Vitinho ⚽, Mauricio Junior (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mauricio Junior ↓, Henrique Kaio ↑,
48', Luisao 🟨,
50', Rodriguinho 🟨,
59', Jean Carlos ↓, Cadu ↑,
59', Luisao ↓, Marcos Vinicius ↑,
60', Lourenco ↓, Wellington Rato ↑,
70', Miritello J. B. ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
71', Rodriguinho ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
73', Filipe Machado ↓, Gege ↑,
78', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
84', Pedro Henrique ↓, Welliton ↑,
89', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
90+1', Luquinhas 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Goiás: Anselmo Ramon (Injury) Pedrinho (Inactive)

There will not play in Fortaleza: Fuentes G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fortaleza: Lucca Prior (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Goiás won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Fortaleza: 13.3% Goias: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fortaleza	32	15	11	6	37:27	10	56
11	Goias	32	13	6	13	32:40	-8	45

Last Results with these Odds

Goiás - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.74%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Fortaleza - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.13%, but this team recently wins 12% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
28.08.26	Goiás - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Cuiabá - Goiás	1:1 ✺
18.08.26	Goiás - Juventude	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Criciúma - Goiás	1:0 ✺
10.08.26	Goiás - Londrina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLLW
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie B
31.08.26	Fortaleza - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Criciúma - Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Fortaleza - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Juventude - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Cuiabá - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
02.05.26	Fortaleza - Goiás	4:1
Brazilian Serie A
03.12.23	Fortaleza - Goiás	1:0
05.08.23	Goiás - Fortaleza	1:0
01.10.22	Goiás - Fortaleza	0:1
09.06.22	Fortaleza - Goiás	1:1
26.11.20	Fortaleza - Goiás	1:1
19.08.20	Goiás - Fortaleza	1:3

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