Match Info

Serie B - Round 25

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Fortaleza		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.25	4.75	Watch
	1.70	3.30	4.80
	1.8	3.2	4.5
	1.83	3.38	5.37
	1.81	3.33	4.72
	1.8	3.35	4.95
	1.83	3.23	4.72	Watch
	1.83	3.25	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.7)	3.29 ↓ (3.51)	4.79 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
52%

Draw
28.5%

Operário Ferroviario
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

26.5%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

26.2%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fortaleza - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Fortaleza will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Ricardo (C) 22. Mailton 3. Lucas Gazal 6. Cardona T. 13. Mauricio Junior 88. Lucas Sasha 5. Pierre 16. Pedro Henrique 75. Rodriguinho 32. Luiz Fernando 9. Miritello J. B.	33. Vagner (G) 26. Maguinho 22. Cuenu J. 43. Joseph 6. Moraes 39. Matheus Trindade 20. Vinicius Diniz 7. Torres A. 10. Boschilia (C) 14. Pereira H. 92. Pablo
Substitutes
12. Henrique Kaio 4. Luan Freitas 10. Lucas Crispim 19. Lucas Emanoel 17. Nathan Fogaca 77. Paulo Baya 29. Rodrigo 8. Ronald 37. Ryan 25. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 11. Vitinho 31. Welliton	11. Aylon 99. Caio Dantas 1. Elias Curzel (G) 27. Gabriel Feliciano 5. Indio 4. Klaus 77. Maxwell 16. Miranda 88. Neto Paraiba 30. Pedro Vilhena 9. Vinicius Mingotti 8. Zuluaga J.
Coaches
Autuori P.	Luizinho Lopes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Cardona T. 🟨,
23', Moraes 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Mailton ⚽, Joao Ricardo (A),
33', 1 - 1, Torres A. ⚽, Boschilia (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moraes ↓, Gabriel Feliciano ↑,
64', Lucas Sasha ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
65', Rodriguinho ↓, Lucas Crispim ↑,
65', Torres A. ↓, Maxwell ↑,
74', Pereira H. ↓, Aylon ↑,
79', Pedro Henrique ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
79', Luiz Fernando ↓, Welliton ↑,
83', Pablo ↓, Vinicius Mingotti ↑,
83', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Indio ↑,
90', Mauricio Junior ↓, Henrique Kaio ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 9).

Fortaleza is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Operário PR is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Fortaleza is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Fortaleza: Fuentes G. (Knee Injury) Ronald (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Fortaleza: Lucca Prior (Knee Injury) Pedro Henrique (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fortaleza	32	15	11	6	37:27	10	56
9	Operario-PR	32	13	9	10	44:43	1	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie B
23.08.26	Criciúma - Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Fortaleza - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Juventude - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Cuiabá - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.08.26	Fortaleza - Palmeiras	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WTTTW
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
23.08.26	Operário Ferroviario - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
19.08.26	Cuiabá - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Operário Ferroviario - Avaí	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Operário Ferroviario - São Bernardo	1:3 ✺
27.07.26	Atlético Goianiense - Operário Ferroviario	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Fortaleza	0:0

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