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Current Win Probability
Goiás 24.1%
Draw 29.5%
São Paulo 46.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.6%
27%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28%
26.5%
45.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Goiás - São Paulo Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (G) 20. Diego 37. Messias 4. David Braz (C) 6. Sander 70. Nathan Melo 8. Rafael Gava 88. Luiz Henrique 31. Welliton 11. Mateus Goncalves 9. Rodriguez A.
23. Rafael (G) 13. Rafinha 5. Robert Arboleda 28. Franco A. 6. Welington 21. Bobadilla D. 16. Luiz Gustavo 7. Lucas Moura 10. Luciano 47. Ferreirinha 9. Jonathan Calleri
Substitutes
18. Breno Herculano 22. Diego Caito 99. Edu 90. Halerrandrio 14. Lucas Ribeiro 17. Pedrinho 10. Regis 33. Thiago Galhardo 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 5. Wellington 66. Xavier
17. Andre Silva 33. Erick 32. Ferraresi N. 93. Jandrei (G) 30. Joao Moreira 31. Juan Santos 26. Liziero 20. Marcos Antonio 15. Michel Araujo 36. Patryck 11. Rodrigo Nestor 27. Wellington Rato
Coaches
Vagner Mancini
Zubeldia L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Luciano 🟨,
26', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
31', Sander 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Rafael Gava ↓, Thiago Galhardo ↑,
55', Luiz Henrique ↓, Regis ↑,
61', Rodriguez A. ↓, Edu ↑,
65', Ferreirinha 🟨,
67', Ferreirinha ↓, Rodrigo Nestor ↑,
67', Luciano ↓, Wellington Rato ↑,
73', Nathan Melo ↓, Wellington ↑,
73', Mateus Goncalves ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
79', Lucas Moura ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
81', David Braz 🟨,
87', Rafael 🟨,
88', Jonathan Calleri ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
90+1', Welington 🟨,
90+7', Thiago Galhardo 🟥,
90+7', Franco A. 🟥,
90+8', 🟨,
90+9', Rafinha 🟨,
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Goiás won 1.
Goiás is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches São Paulo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Goiás have a series of guest games.
São Paulo will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Goiás won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16-23.
Including matches at home between the teams Goiás won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-11.