Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 16

Date: 21 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Referee: Gomes A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Guarani		Goiás

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.8	2.8	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.7
	2.85	2.8	2.75
	3.03	2.85	2.76
	2.88	2.73	2.85	Watch
	2.7	2.88	2.75
	2.79	2.9	2.73
	2.75	2.8	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.05)	2.81 ↓ (3)	2.77 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
33.1%

Draw
33.2%

Goiás
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

31.1%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

31.2%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	63.6%	9.1%

Guarani - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Goiás will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Vladimir (G) 28. Pacheco 3. Leo Santos 13. Matheus Salustiano 17. Jefferson 33. Gabriel Bispo 18. Matheus Bueno 30. Airton 10. Luan Dias 19. Joao Victor 99. Caio Dantas	23. Tadeu (G) 20. Diego 37. Messias 14. Lucas Ribeiro 6. Sander 77. Marcao Silva 4. David Braz (C) 5. Wellington 10. Regis 80. Rildo 33. Thiago Galhardo
Substitutes
5. Anderson Leite 39. dos Anjos D. 31. Douglas Borges (G) 12. Lucas Adell 21. Lucas Araujo 7. Luccas Paraizo 8. Marlon Douglas 26. Rafael Freitas 20. Reinaldo 15. Rene 29. Yan Henrique 32. Yuji	22. Diego Caito 19. Edson 43. Edu 99. Edu 50. Juninho 88. Luiz Henrique 70. Nathan Melo 7. Paulo Baya 8. Rafael Gava 9. Rodriguez A. 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 31. Welliton
Coaches
Pintado	Marcio Zanardi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Rildo 🟥,
20', Thiago Galhardo 🟨,
21', Luan Dias 🟨,
21', Wellington 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Caio Dantas ⚽,
37', Marcao Silva 🟨,
37', David Braz 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Nathan Melo ⚽, Thiago Galhardo (A),
45+2', Nathan Melo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Regis ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
46', Matheus Bueno ↓, Luccas Paraizo ↑,
56', Airton 🟨,
59', Wellington ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
59', Thiago Galhardo ↓, Welliton ↑,
68', Nathan Melo ↓, Edson ↑,
71', Caio Dantas ↓, dos Anjos D. ↑,
71', Pacheco ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Matheus Salustiano ⚽,
78', David Braz ↓, Edu ↑,
79', Luan Dias ↓, Anderson Leite ↑,
80', Airton ↓, Yan Henrique ↑,
84', Jefferson 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, Edu (Pen),
90+3', Leo Santos 🟨,
90+13', 2 - 3, Paulo Baya ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 12).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Guarani could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Guarani: Bruno Mendes (Injury)

There will not play in Goiás: Halerrandrio (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guarani won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Guarani won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
13.07.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani	1:1 ✺
07.07.24	Guarani - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
30.06.24	Guarani - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	CRB Maceio - Guarani	1:0 ✺
18.06.24	Guarani - Ituano	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTLT
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
17.07.24	Operário Ferroviario - Goiás	2:0 ✺
06.07.24	Goiás - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
02.07.24	Goiás - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
23.06.24	Vila Nova - Goiás	1:0 ✺
19.06.24	Santos - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.11.21	Guarani - Goiás	0:2
13.08.21	Goiás - Guarani	2:1

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