Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa do Brasil - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Do MorumBIS (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)


	São Paulo		Goiás

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.1	9
	1.38	4	8
	1.38	4.2	9
	1.39	4.33	10.1
	1.41	4.04	9.01
	1.35	4.2	8.5
	1.4	4.4	9
	1.38	4.1	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.27)	4.17 ↓ (5.23)	8.93 ↓ (9.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
67.2%

Draw
22.4%

Goiás
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.4%

17.6%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Paulo's form might have worsened.

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

São Paulo - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rafael (G) 13. Rafinha 5. Robert Arboleda 28. Franco A. 6. Welington 16. Luiz Gustavo 21. Bobadilla D. 7. Lucas Moura 10. Luciano 47. Ferreirinha 9. Jonathan Calleri	23. Tadeu (G) 14. Lucas Ribeiro 4. David Braz (C) 37. Messias 22. Diego Caito 5. Wellington 77. Marcao Silva 6. Sander 33. Thiago Galhardo 31. Welliton 7. Paulo Baya
Substitutes
17. Andre Silva 33. Erick 32. Ferraresi N. 2. Igor Vinicius 93. Jandrei (G) 31. Juan Santos 26. Liziero 20. Marcos Antonio 15. Michel Araujo 36. Patryck 11. Rodrigo Nestor 27. Wellington Rato	13. Anthony 2. Douglas Borel 99. Edu 97. Larson 88. Luiz Henrique 11. Mateus Goncalves 70. Nathan Melo 8. Rafael Gava 10. Regis 9. Rodriguez A. 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 16. Xavier
Coaches
Zubeldia L.	Marcio Zanardi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Marcao Silva 🟥,
42', Jonathan Calleri 🟨,
45+7', Thiago Rodrigues 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bobadilla D. ↓, Ferraresi N. ↑,
46', Thiago Galhardo ↓, Nathan Melo ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Luciano ⚽,
61', Wellington ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
74', Welliton ↓, Mateus Goncalves ↑,
75', Welington ↓, Rodrigo Nestor ↑,
75', Rafinha ↓, Igor Vinicius ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Jonathan Calleri ⚽,
81', Ferreirinha ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
87', Luciano 🟨,
90+1', Luciano ↓, Liziero ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 3.

Recent matches São Paulo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Goiás is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Goiás could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match São Paulo is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23-16.

Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
27.07.24	Fortaleza - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
24.07.24	São Paulo - Botafogo RJ	2:2 ✺
21.07.24	Juventude - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
17.07.24	São Paulo - Grêmio	1:0 ✺
11.07.24	Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTWL
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
25.07.24	Goiás - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Guarani - Goiás	2:3 ✺
17.07.24	Operário Ferroviario - Goiás	2:0 ✺
06.07.24	Goiás - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
02.07.24	Goiás - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
18.10.23	Goiás - São Paulo	2:0
27.05.23	São Paulo - Goiás	2:1
13.11.22	Goiás - São Paulo	0:4
23.07.22	São Paulo - Goiás	3:3
03.12.20	Goiás - São Paulo	0:3
07.11.20	São Paulo - Goiás	2:1
25.09.19	São Paulo - Goiás	0:1

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