Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter


	Juventude		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2.2
	3.35	2.98	2.22	Watch
	3.66	3.07	2.28
	3.64	3.07	2.16	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.2
	3.4	3.13	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (3.92)	3.04 ↓ (3.25)	2.21 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
26.9%

Draw
30.7%

São Paulo
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

28.4%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

27.9%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Paulo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Paulo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Juventude - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 2 - 40%). São Paulo will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventude (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Juventude (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventude (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Pedro Rocha (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 4. Messias 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 22. Nathan Santos 5. Luan Martins 8. Lucas Mineiro 47. Marcos Paulo 75. Rai Silva 9. Alan Kardec 10. MP	23. Rafael (G) 21. Soares C. 4. Matheus Doria 35. Sabino 13. Diaz E. 16. Bobadilla D. 94. Danielzinho 37. Artur 10. Luciano 80. Cauly 9. Jonathan Calleri (C)
Substitutes
25. Alisson Safira 17. Castro M. 11. Fabio Lima 79. Joao Scatolin 29. Junior C. 53. Kaynan 15. Leo Indio 44. Mandaca 27. Ray Breno 21. Ruan Carneiro (G) 3. Titi 6. Wadson	17. Andre Silva 31. Carlos Coronel (G) 48. Djhordney 30. Felipe Negrucci 11. Ferreira 40. Igor Felisberto 33. Luan Silva 45. Lucca Marques 54. Luis Osorio 46. Pedro Ferreira 14. Tapia G. 18. Wendell
Coaches
Mauricio Barbieri	Roger Machado

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Rodrigo Sam 🟨,
44', Luciano ↓, Ferreira ↑,
44', Ferreira 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Rodrigo Sam ↓, Wadson ↑,
46', Cauly ↓, Luis Osorio ↑,
54', Diaz E. 🟨,
56', Gabriel Pinheiro 🟨,
63', Nathan Santos ↓, Fabio Lima ↑,
63', MP ↓, Castro M. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Gabriel Pinheiro ⚽, Marcos Paulo (A),
73', 2 - 0, Marcos Paulo ⚽, Rai Silva (A),
77', Soares C. ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
82', Diaz E. ↓, Wendell ↑,
83', Danielzinho ↓, Tapia G. ↑,
84', Luan Martins ↓, Alisson Safira ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Tapia G. ⚽, Bobadilla D. (A),
88', Marcos Paulo ↓, Mandaca ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Mandaca ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Juventude may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

São Paulo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
09.05.26	Juventude - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
06.05.26	Juventude - Tombense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
03.05.26	Atlético Goianiense - Juventude	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
30.04.26	Cianorte - Juventude	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
25.04.26	Juventude - Londrina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTLW
- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Corinthians - São Paulo	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.26	OHiggins - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.05.26	São Paulo - Bahia	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.26	Millonarios - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.04.26	São Paulo - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
21.04.26	São Paulo - Juventude	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
23.11.25	São Paulo - Juventude	2:1
24.07.25	Juventude - São Paulo	0:1
04.12.24	São Paulo - Juventude	1:2
21.07.24	Juventude - São Paulo	0:0
23.10.22	Juventude - São Paulo	1:2
26.06.22	São Paulo - Juventude	0:0

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