Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 22

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Gondomar		Leça

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.1	1.72
	4.8	3.15	1.74
	4.75	3.16	1.79
	5.67	3.05	1.68
	4.8	3.15	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.92 ↑ (4.28)	3.12 ↓ (3.4)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gondomar
18.5%

Draw
29.1%

Leça
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

26.8%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

26.9%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gondomar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gondomar than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Gondomar - Leça Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Martelo P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 2, Richard ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gondomar won 2.

Recent matches Gondomar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leça in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Leça is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Gondomar won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:14 (average 1.4:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Gondomar won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gondomar SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.03.25	Beira-Mar - Gondomar	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Gondomar - Machico	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Guarda FC - Gondomar	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Gondomar - Salgueiros 08	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	União Lamas - Gondomar	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWTTL
- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.03.25	Leça - Marítimo B	3:1 ✺
23.02.25	Cinfães - Leça	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Leça - Coimbrões	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Marco 09 - Leça	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Leça - Camacha	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.11.24	Leça - Gondomar	3:2
05.03.23	Gondomar - Leça	2:0
20.11.22	Leça - Gondomar	0:2
23.01.22	Leça - Gondomar	0:0
24.10.21	Gondomar - Leça	1:2
30.05.21	Leça - Gondomar	2:2
08.05.21	Gondomar - Leça	0:1

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