Match Info

HNL - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Gradski stadion Velika Gorica (Velika Gorica)

Referee: Vukancic I. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gorica		Osijek

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.90	3.10
	2.37	3.10	2.95
	2.43	2.85	2.85
	2.55	2.99	3.19
	2.45	3.08	2.97	Watch
	2.45	2.90	3.15
	2.38	3.06	3.28	Watch
	2.36	2.95	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.54)	2.98 ↑ (2.77)	3.06 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorica
38.5%

Draw
31.1%

Osijek
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

33.7%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Gorica - Osijek Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Osijek will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Matijas D. (G) 45. Peric S. 32. Filipovic J. (C) 34. Cvijanovic I. 2. Braut F. 36. Kavelj A. 24. Pavicic D. 25. Bogojevic B. 7. Bakic O. 99. Gashi M. 9. Mijic P.	31. Malenica M. (C) 77. Mustafic S. 49. Kolarik I. 26. Jelenic L. 22. Jurisic R. 23. Vrbancic L. 7. Dolcek I. 48. Jezic J. 39. Bukvic D. 11. Omerovic N. 99. Balelo
Substitutes
26. Carole K. 4. Custovic K. 66. Frigan J. 1. Josipovic R. (G) 18. Kardum B. 77. Kelava M. 28. Kozina E. 14. Kucis S. 21. Moustapha H. I. 67. Prgomet T. 20. Vrzic L. 30. Zarkov D. (G)	1. Curcija N. (G) 18. Farkas N. 33. Hasic E. 2. Heister M. 17. Jakupovic A. 98. Jovicic M. 47. Kalem D. 79. Leon A. 30. Ljatifi A. 5. Mersinaj J. 8. Mikolcic S. 16. Petrusenko O.
Coaches
Carevic M.	Bessone F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Dolcek I. ⚽, Balelo (A),
13', Peric S. 🟨,
14', 0 - 2, Omerovic N. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gashi M. ↓, Carole K. ↑,
46', Balelo ↓, Leon A. ↑,
62', Bakic O. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
62', Bogojevic B. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
63', Jezic J. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
63', Dolcek I. ↓, Jakupovic A. ↑,
65', Mikolcic S. 🟨,
78', Jelenic L. ↓, Hasic E. ↑,
81', Braut F. ↓, Frigan J. ↑,
86', Mustafic S. 🟨,
87', Omerovic N. ↓, Ljatifi A. ↑,
87', Peric S. ↓, Moustapha H. I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gorica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Osijek	9	5	1	3	18:14	4	16
10	Gorica	9	1	2	6	6:14	-8	5

Last Results with these Odds

Gorica - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.75%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Gorica
Club Friendly
23.07.26	Gorica - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	St. Pauli - Gorica	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Gorica - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	1:0 ✺
13.07.26	Gorica - Göztepe	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Gorica - Zorya Luhansk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW
- NK Osijek
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Osijek - Çaykur Rizespor	1:3 ✺
22.07.26	Osijek - Cibalia	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Osijek - Budapest Honved	2:1 ✺
13.07.26	Neftchi Baku - Osijek	0:1 ✺
04.07.26	Osijek - Paksi SE	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
16.05.26	Gorica - Osijek	2:0
14.03.26	Osijek - Gorica	0:0
13.12.25	Osijek - Gorica	1:1
28.09.25	Gorica - Osijek	0:1
19.04.25	Osijek - Gorica	0:1
08.02.25	Gorica - Osijek	1:0
02.11.24	Osijek - Gorica	2:0

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