Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gorica		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.40	4.00	1.55
	6.4	4.45	1.44
	6.02	4.7	1.38
	50.00	16.96	1.00	Watch
	5.95	4.5	1.35
	5.35	5.08	1.46	Watch
	5.6	4.6	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.96 ↑ (5.86)	6.33 ↑ (4.8)	1.37 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorica
8.6%

Draw
16.3%

Shakhtar Donetsk
75.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

19.7%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gorica's form might have worsened.

Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shakhtar Donetsk's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Gorica - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Matijas D. (G) 7. Bakic O. 25. Bogojevic B. 2. Braut F. 34. Cvijanovic I. 50. Erceg A. 32. Filipovic J. (C) 9. Mijic P. 24. Pavicic D. 45. Peric S. 20. Vrzic L.	48. Tvardovskyi D. (G) 30. Alisson 5. Bondar V. 20. Karavaev O. 19. Kaua Elias 6. Marlon 22. Matvienko M. (C) 29. Nazaryna Y. 68. Obah P. 10. Pedrinho 13. Pedro Henrique
Substitutes
. Aranha . Carole K. . Custovic K. . Frigan J. . Josic Z. . Kardum . Kelava M. . Kucis S. . Moustapha H. I. . Prgomet T. . Simic D.	34. Bahlay R. (G) 21. Bondarenko A. . Bruninho 18. Ghram A. 16. Gocholeishvili G. . Marlon Gomes 11. Newerton . Ryan Roberto 17. Tobias V. 2. Traore L. 24. Tsukanov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Pedrinho ⚽,
42', Alisson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Alisson ⚽,
73', Erceg A. 🟨,
73', Marlon 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Gorica has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shakhtar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shakhtar is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gorica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Gorica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Gorica
Club Friendly
19.07.26	St. Pauli - Gorica	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Gorica - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	1:0 ✺
13.07.26	Gorica - Göztepe	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Gorica - Zorya Luhansk	2:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
23.05.26	Rijeka - Gorica	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWL
- Shakhtar Donetsk
Club Friendly
21.07.26	Slaven Belupo - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:2 ✺
19.07.26	Rudeš - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:5 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
21.05.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Kryvbas - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:3 ✺
13.05.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Obolon	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.07.25	Gorica - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1

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