Match Info

Date: 24 October 2020, Saturday


	Gorodeja		Smolevichi

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.42	4.25	5.75
	1.5	4.2	5	Watch
	1.51	4.1	5.4
	1.56	4.4	5.46
	1.5	4	6
	1.51	4.4	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.34)	4.22 ↓ (4.78)	5.62 ↓ (6.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorodeja
61.8%

Draw
21.8%

Smolevichi
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

19.1%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

80.1%

16.2%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorodeja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gorodeja's form might have worsened.

Smolevichi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorodeja than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gorodeja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smolevichi than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Smolevichi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.5%	0%	80.5%

Gorodeja - Smolevichi Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Gorodeja will win (votes: 8 - 19.5%). Smolevichi will win (votes: 33 - 80.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Smolevichi: 68.4% – 92.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation to Pershaya Liga).

Gorodeja is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Smolevichi has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Gorodeja is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gorodeja won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Gorodeja won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gorodeja
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
17.10.20	Neman Grodno - Gorodeja	0:1 ✺
Belarusian Cup
03.10.20	Gorodeja - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0:3 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
26.09.20	Gorodeja - Slavia Mozyr	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Gorodeja - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:3 ✺
11.09.20	Minsk - Gorodeja	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLTLL
- FC Smolevichi
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
18.10.20	Smolevichi - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:4 ✺
02.10.20	Dinamo Minsk - Smolevichi	2:1 ✺
28.09.20	Minsk - Smolevichi	2:1 ✺
23.09.20	Smolevichi - Minsk	0:4 ✺
18.09.20	Smolevichi - Rukh Brest	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
05.06.20	Smolevichi - Gorodeja	4:1
27.10.18	Gorodeja - Smolevichi	4:1
11.06.18	Smolevichi - Gorodeja	2:0
Club Friendly
03.02.18	Smolevichi - Gorodeja	1:4

Gorodeja - Smolevichi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide