Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Gorodeja		Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.4	3.75
				Watch
	1.78	3.85	4.02
	1.83	3.5	3.8
	1.88	3.52	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.92)	3.57 ↑ (3.51)	3.81 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorodeja
50.2%

Draw
25.7%

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

26.3%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

17.8%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorodeja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorodeja than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gorodeja that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gorodeja - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Gorodeja is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gorodeja will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gorodeja won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gorodeja
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
26.09.20	Gorodeja - Slavia Mozyr	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Gorodeja - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:3 ✺
11.09.20	Minsk - Gorodeja	3:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
29.08.20	Naftan - Gorodeja	0:2 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
22.08.20	Gorodeja - Rukh Brest	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLWL
- Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
26.09.20	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Krumkachy Minsk	1:1 ✺
20.09.20	Lokomotiv Gomel - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:1 ✺
12.09.20	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Gomel	1:1
06.09.20	Khimik Svetlogorsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	2:2 ✺
Belarusian Cup
28.08.20	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Smolevichi	4:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.02.20	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Gorodeja	1:3

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