Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 34

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday


	Gosport Borough		Beaconsfield Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.25
	1.9	3.75	3.3
	1.92	4.02	3.32
	1.87	3.68	3.45
	1.9	3.75	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.51)	3.76 ↓ (4.2)	3.32 ↓ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gosport Borough
48.3%

Draw
24.3%

Beaconsfield Town
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

21.6%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

21.5%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gosport Borough's form might have worsened.

Beaconsfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beaconsfield Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gosport Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beaconsfield Town than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beaconsfield Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gosport won 3.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Gosport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gosport will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Gosport won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Gosport won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
20.02.24	Hungerford Town - Gosport Borough	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Gosport Borough - Salisbury	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Dorchester Town - Gosport Borough	0:3 ✺
06.02.24	Harrow Borough - Gosport Borough	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Gosport Borough - Merthyr Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTWLW
- Beaconsfield Town
English Southern League South Division
24.02.24	Beaconsfield Town - Walton & Hersham	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Didcot Town - Beaconsfield Town	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Beaconsfield Town - Hayes & Yeading United	2:3 ✺
03.02.24	Sholing - Beaconsfield Town	0:0 ✺
30.01.24	Plymouth Parkway - Beaconsfield Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
24.10.23	Beaconsfield Town - Gosport Borough	1:2
22.04.23	Gosport Borough - Beaconsfield Town	3:2
05.11.22	Beaconsfield Town - Gosport Borough	3:2
26.02.22	Beaconsfield Town - Gosport Borough	7:2
06.11.21	Gosport Borough - Beaconsfield Town	2:1
28.09.20	Beaconsfield Town - Gosport Borough	0:2
07.03.20	Beaconsfield Town - Gosport Borough	0:1

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