Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 40

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Gosport Borough		Yate Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.78
	2.15	3.76	2.76
	2.18	3.91	2.82	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.75
	2.18	3.74	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.3)	3.66 ↑ (3.58)	2.8 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gosport Borough
42.3%

Draw
25%

Yate Town
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

25.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

25.8%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gosport Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Gosport Borough - Yate Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Bennett J. ⚽,
50', Rew H. 🟥,
90+4', 0 - 2, Sady H. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gosport won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Yate has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gosport won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gosport won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Gosport	14	6	3	5	22:18	4	21
15	Yate Town	13	3	5	5	16:25	-9	14

Last Results with these Odds

Gosport Borough - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.07%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
06.04.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Gosport Borough	4:0 ✺
03.04.26	Gosport Borough - Uxbridge	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Berkhamsted - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gosport Borough - Poole Town	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Bracknell Town - Gosport Borough	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWW
- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
06.04.26	Yate Town - Evesham United	3:0 ✺
03.04.26	Chertsey Town - Yate Town	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Yate Town - Hanwell Town	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Yate Town - Poole Town	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Yate Town - Weymouth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
06.09.25	Yate Town - Gosport Borough	1:1
14.01.23	Gosport Borough - Yate Town	0:1
26.11.22	Yate Town - Gosport Borough	5:4
23.04.22	Yate Town - Gosport Borough	1:2
11.09.21	Gosport Borough - Yate Town	2:1
07.12.19	Gosport Borough - Yate Town	1:1

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