Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 8

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Yate Town		Evesham United

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.3	3.05
	2.02	3.3	2.83
	2.14	3.48	3.17	Watch
	2.13	3.15	2.9
	2.05	3.25	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.02)	3.3 ↓ (3.5)	3.03 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yate Town
43.2%

Draw
27.2%

Evesham United
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

25.8%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

25.6%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Evesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Yate Town - Evesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 12th and 13th).

In recent outings, Yate has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Evesham is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Evesham may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Yate is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Yate has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0 (averaging 2:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Yate against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Evesham: 0.96%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Evesham	9	4	1	4	14:17	-3	13
14	Yate Town	9	3	3	3	13:18	-5	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yate Town
English FA Cup
18.09.26	Yate Town - Chippenham Town	0:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Hanworth Villa - Yate Town	2:3 ✺
31.08.26	Yate Town - Taunton Town	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Poole Town - Yate Town	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Yate Town - Bracknell Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLLW
- Evesham United
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Redditch United - Evesham United	3:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Evesham United - Berkhamsted	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Gloucester City - Evesham United	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Evesham United - Plymouth Parkway	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Hanworth Villa - Evesham United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
06.04.26	Yate Town - Evesham United	3:0
27.12.25	Evesham United - Yate Town	0:1

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