Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 22

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Gouveia		Vitória de Sernache

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Gouveia
30.9%

Draw
30.6%

Vitória de Sernache
38.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.3%

32.1%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

29.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gouveia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gouveia than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitória de Sernache, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Gouveia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sernache is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gouveia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gouveia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
23.02.24	União de Coimbra - Gouveia	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Gouveia - SC Lusitânia	2:2 ✺
11.02.24	Rabo de Peixe - Gouveia	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Gouveia - Fontinhas	3:1 ✺
28.01.24	União de Tomar - Gouveia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTLWW
- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
24.02.24	Sertanense - Vitória de Sernache	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Vitória de Sernache - União de Coimbra	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	SC Lusitânia - Vitória de Sernache	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Vitória de Sernache - Rabo de Peixe	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Fontinhas - Vitória de Sernache	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLTL

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
05.11.23	Vitória de Sernache - Gouveia	1:1

Gouveia - Vitória de Sernache