Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 21

Date: 5 March 2024, Tuesday


	Goytre United		Briton Ferry Llansawel

	1	X	2
	7	5.5	1.3
	5.51	5.21	1.36
	7.32	5.4	1.29
	5.8	4.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.41 ↑ (4.05)	5.25 ↑ (4.05)	1.33 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goytre United
14.2%

Draw
17.3%

Briton Ferry Llansawel
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goytre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Goytre United's form might have worsened.

Briton Ferry Llansawel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Briton Ferry Llansawel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goytre United than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Goytre United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Briton Ferry Llansawel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Goytre United won 2.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Briton Ferry is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Goytre United won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Goytre United won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goytre United
Welsh Cymru South
23.02.24	Afan Lido - Goytre United	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Pontardawe Town - Goytre United	4:4 ✺
10.02.24	Goytre United - Ammanford	2:6 ✺
02.02.24	Cambrian United - Goytre United	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Baglan Dragons - Goytre United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTLTL
- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh Cymru South
24.02.24	Ammanford - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
16.02.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - The New Saints	1:5 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
09.02.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Cambrian United	3:4 ✺
02.02.24	Abergavenny Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:3 ✺
12.01.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Pontardawe Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
06.10.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Goytre United	3:2
02.01.23	Goytre United - Briton Ferry Llansawel	3:2
27.12.22	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Goytre United	4:1
01.04.22	Goytre United - Briton Ferry Llansawel	3:1
13.08.21	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Goytre United	2:1
29.11.19	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Goytre United	4:2
16.08.19	Goytre United - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:1

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