Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 22

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday


	Baglan Dragons		Goytre United

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.15	4.6
	1.56	4.57	4.87	Watch
	1.54	4.55	4.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.75)	4.42 ↓ (4.69)	4.61 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baglan Dragons
59.5%

Draw
20.7%

Goytre United
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

19.6%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

15.6%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baglan Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baglan Dragons's performance.

Goytre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Goytre United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baglan Dragons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goytre United than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goytre United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Baglan Dragons - Goytre United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Logan N. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Legavec A. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Smith C. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
47', 3 - 1, Fleming J. ⚽,
59', 4 - 1, Parsons K. ⚽,
67', 5 - 1, Randall T. ⚽,
75', 6 - 1, Wilcox C. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
17.01.25	Pontypridd United - Baglan Dragons	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Baglan Dragons - Caerau Ely	2:1 ✺
08.01.25	Cambrian United - Baglan Dragons	0:0 ✺
30.12.24	Llanelli - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
26.12.24	Baglan Dragons - Trefelin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTLL
- Goytre United
Welsh Cymru South
22.01.25	Goytre United - Llantwit Major	0:1 ✺
17.01.25	Goytre United - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	2:1 ✺
10.01.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Goytre United	3:1 ✺
26.12.24	Goytre United - Afan Lido	0:3 ✺
30.11.24	Cambrian United - Goytre United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
06.08.24	Goytre United - Baglan Dragons	0:1
27.01.24	Baglan Dragons - Goytre United	2:1
15.12.23	Goytre United - Baglan Dragons	3:2

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