Match Info

Cymru South - Round 28

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	Goytre United		Ammanford

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.65	2.27
	2.68	3.78	2.34	Watch
	2.58	3.65	2.23
	2.6	3.65	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.27)	3.68 ↓ (3.76)	2.28 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goytre United
35%

Draw
24.8%

Ammanford
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

24.3%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

23.8%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goytre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Goytre United's form might have worsened.

Ammanford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goytre United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Goytre United - Ammanford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
72', 0 - 1, Llewelyn M. ⚽,
78', 0 - 2, Fisher M. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, Perrett D. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Goytre United won 3.

Recent matches Goytre United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ammanford is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Goytre United won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:14 (average 2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Goytre United won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:7 (average 3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goytre United
Welsh Cymru South
21.03.25	Caerau Ely - Goytre United	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Goytre United - Cambrian United	2:2 ✺
28.02.25	Goytre United - Llanelli	2:4 ✺
21.02.25	Trefelin - Goytre United	3:2 ✺
07.02.25	Goytre United - Taffs Well AFC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTLLW
- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
21.03.25	Ammanford - Trefelin	1:2 ✺
07.03.25	Afan Lido - Ammanford	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Ammanford - Newport City	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Llanelli - Ammanford	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Ammanford - Pontypridd United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
11.10.24	Ammanford - Goytre United	3:1
10.02.24	Goytre United - Ammanford	2:6
22.09.23	Ammanford - Goytre United	0:1
15.04.23	Goytre United - Ammanford	5:0
30.09.22	Ammanford - Goytre United	2:3
28.01.22	Ammanford - Goytre United	0:1
07.02.20	Goytre United - Ammanford	2:1

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