Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 16

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday


	Cambrian United		Goytre United

	1	X	2
	1.69	4	3.85
	1.67	4.08	3.62
				Watch
	1.69	4.05	3.87
	1.69	4	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 (1.69)	4.03 ↓ (4.2)	3.8 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambrian United
53.7%

Draw
22.4%

Goytre United
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

21.6%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

17%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Cambrian United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Goytre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cambrian United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goytre United than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goytre United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cambrian United - Goytre United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Parker T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 2 - 0, Warman L. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambrian United
Welsh FA Cup
16.11.24	Cambrian United - Llandudno	3:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
09.11.24	Cambrian United - Trethomas Bluebirds	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Trefelin - Cambrian United	5:2 ✺
25.10.24	Cambrian United - Caerau Ely	2:2 ✺
12.10.24	Baglan Dragons - Cambrian United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLTL
- Goytre United
Welsh Cymru South
22.11.24	Llanelli - Goytre United	7:1 ✺
08.11.24	Goytre United - Trefelin	1:3 ✺
01.11.24	Taffs Well AFC - Goytre United	4:4 ✺
26.10.24	Goytre United - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:2 ✺
11.10.24	Ammanford - Goytre United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
02.02.24	Cambrian United - Goytre United	1:1
30.09.23	Goytre United - Cambrian United	1:0
25.02.23	Cambrian United - Goytre United	4:2
02.08.22	Goytre United - Cambrian United	1:1
26.02.22	Cambrian United - Goytre United	4:1
28.08.21	Goytre United - Cambrian United	3:0
Welsh Division 1
24.04.19	Goytre United - Cambrian United	1:2

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