Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 10

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Portugal	Canal 11
Usa	Fanatiz


	Grêmio		Remo

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.7	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.55	4.7	Watch
	1.75	3.75	5.31
	1.69	3.85	5.16	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.6
	1.74	3.8	5.14	Watch
	1.49	4.3	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.44)	3.79 ↓ (4.12)	5.15 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
56.6%

Draw
25%

Remo
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

22.2%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

20.9%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio's form might have worsened.

Remo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Remo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Grêmio - Remo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Grêmio (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Grêmio will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weverton (G) 7. Pavon C. 6. Gustavo Martins 44. Viery 54. Pedro Gabriel 5. Nardoni J. 50. Bernardo Zortea 99. Enamorado J. 11. Monsalve M. 9. Amuzu F. 95. Carlos Vinicius (C)	88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 79. Marcelinho 13. Marllon (C) 18. Tchamba D. 98. Mayk 8. Patrick 14. Picco L. 26. David Braga 22. Yago Pikachu 11. Alef Manga 19. Gabriel Taliari
Substitutes
8. Arthur Melo 22. Braithwaite M. 38. Caio Paulista 17. Dodi 12. Gabriel Grando (G) 37. Gabriel Mec 40. Jefinho 43. Luis Eduardo 14. Marcos Rocha 47. Roger 21. Tete 4. Walter Kannemann	33. Diego Hernandez 99. Gabriel Poveda 7. Giovanni Pavani 10. Jaderson 37. Jaja 27. Kayky Almeida 5. Leo Andrade 97. Lucas Leal 2. Matheus Alexandre 17. Tassano C. 94. Ygor Vinhas (G)
Coaches
Castro L.	Leo Conde

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Arthur Melo 🟨,
42', Alef Manga (Penalty Awarded),
42', Pavon C. 🟨,
44', David Braga 🟨,
44', Yago Pikachu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Enamorado J. ↓, Tete ↑,
46', Bernardo Zortea ↓, Arthur Melo ↑,
46', Monsalve M. ↓, Gabriel Mec ↑,
66', Nardoni J. ↓, Dodi ↑,
68', Yago Pikachu 🟨,
72', Alef Manga ↓, Jaja ↑,
72', David Braga ↓, Matheus Alexandre ↑,
77', Pedro Gabriel ↓, Braithwaite M. ↑,
84', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Jaderson ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).

Grêmio has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Remo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Grêmio is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Grêmio: Arthur Melo (Inactive) Joao Pedro (Muscle Injury) Marlon (Broken ankle) Perez L. (Inactive) Villasanti M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Remo: Joao Lucas (Knee Injury) Thalisson (Inactive) Vitor Bueno (Injury) Ze Ricardo (Yellow Cards) Ze Welison (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Remo: Eduardo Melo (Hamstring Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Gremio	29	7	9	13	31:39	-8	30
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	33:48	-15	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
02.04.26	Palmeiras - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Vasco da Gama - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Grêmio - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Chapecoense - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
12.03.26	Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWTT
- Clube Do Remo
Brazilian Serie A
02.04.26	Santos - Remo	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
29.03.26	Remo - Monte Roraima	1:1 ✺
26.03.26	Porto Velho - Remo	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
22.03.26	Remo - Bahia	4:1 ✺
19.03.26	Flamengo - Remo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLWL

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