Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 10

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday


	Grêmio Prudente		União Suzano

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.8	5.25
				Watch
	1.51	3.82	5.52
	1.49	3.98	5.73
	1.51	3.95	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.69)	3.89 ↑ (3.5)	5.48 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Prudente
60.1%

Draw
23.3%

União Suzano
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

26.1%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

23.5%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Prudente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio Prudente's performance.

União Suzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Prudente than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio Prudente that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Suzano than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that União Suzano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Recent matches Grêmio Prudente is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

União Suzano is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

União Suzano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Grêmio Prudente is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Prudente
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
21.02.24	Lemense FC - Grêmio Prudente	1:4 ✺
10.02.24	Bandeirante - Grêmio Prudente	3:2 ✺
07.02.24	Grêmio Prudente - Sertãozinho	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	EC São Bernardo - Grêmio Prudente	3:1 ✺
24.01.24	Votuporanguense - Grêmio Prudente	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWLW
- União Suzano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
24.02.24	União Suzano - Bandeirante	0:0 ✺
21.02.24	EC São Bernardo - União Suzano	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	União Suzano - Desportivo Brasil	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	São Caetano - União Suzano	1:2 ✺
07.02.24	União Suzano - Lemense FC	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLWL

Grêmio Prudente - União Suzano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide