Match Info
Gaucho 2 - Round 14Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday
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 |
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 |
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Gramadense |
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EC Pelotas |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.65 |
2.90 |
|
 |
2.32 |
2.68 |
3.15 |
|
 |
2.3 |
2.62 |
3.25 |
|
 |
2.4 |
2.69 |
3.27 |
Watch |
 |
2.25 |
2.55 |
3.15 |
|
 |
2.31 |
2.67 |
3.32 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.34 ↓ (2.91) |
2.64 ↓ (2.85) |
3.17 ↑ (2.41) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gramadense 38.1% | Draw 33.7% | EC Pelotas 28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gramadense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gramadense's performance.EC Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EC Pelotas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gramadense than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gramadense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Pelotas than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC Pelotas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Gramadense - EC Pelotas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 89', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 15th in the Relegation ~ Gaucho 3 and 11th).Recent results have been tough for Gramadense (last 5 matches: 0 wins).Performances by Pelotas have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win). The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders. These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;