Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Gran Peña		Somozas

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.98
	2.29	3.11	3.03
	2.66	2.47	3.33	Watch
	2.34	3.12	3.12
	2.26	3.35	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.26)	3.01 ↓ (3.4)	3.05 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gran Peña
39.1%

Draw
30.7%

Somozas
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

27%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Somozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Gran Peña - Somozas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Gran Peña may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gran Peña won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gran Peña won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Somozas - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.34%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
21.09.25	Montañeros - Gran Peña	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Gran Peña - Arosa	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Atlético Arteixo - Gran Peña	4:1 ✺
10.05.25	Boiro - Gran Peña	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Gran Peña - Villalonga	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTLLW
- UD Somozas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
21.09.25	Somozas - Silva SD	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Céltiga - Somozas	5:0 ✺
11.05.25	Barbadás - Somozas	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Somozas - Boiro	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Villalonga - Somozas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.01.25	Gran Peña - Somozas	0:4
08.09.24	Somozas - Gran Peña	0:1
09.03.24	Somozas - Gran Peña	0:0
22.10.23	Gran Peña - Somozas	1:1
05.02.23	Somozas - Gran Peña	0:3

Gran Peña - Somozas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide