Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Somozas		Boiro

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.37
	2.6	3.1	2.55
	2.9	3.15	2.37
	2.56	3.08	2.54
	2.6	3.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.52)	3.09 ↑ (2.98)	2.48 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Somozas
34%

Draw
29.4%

Boiro
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

30.6%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

31.5%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Somozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Boiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boiro than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Somozas - Boiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Romero Figueira M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 2, Garcia I. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Recently, Boiro has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Somozas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Somozas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
26.04.25	Villalonga - Somozas	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Somozas - Valladares	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Somozas - Estradense	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Arosa - Somozas	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	UD Ourense - Somozas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 WTWWT
- CD Boiro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
27.04.25	Boiro - Barbadás	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Boiro - Villalonga	0:0 ✺
17.04.25	Boiro - Silva SD	4:2 ✺
13.04.25	Valladares - Boiro	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Boiro - Arosa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
22.12.24	Boiro - Somozas	0:0
22.09.18	Somozas - Boiro	0:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
01.10.17	Somozas - Boiro	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.02.17	Somozas - Boiro	0:0
01.10.16	Boiro - Somozas	2:1

Somozas - Boiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide