Match Info

Date: 7 August 2021, Saturday


	Gran Valencia		Academia Puerto Cabello

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	2.95	2.15
	3.25	2.85	2.24
	3.33	2.85	2.3
	3.2	2.75	2.3
	3.28	3.06	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.71)	2.89 ↑ (2.74)	2.25 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gran Valencia
27.9%

Draw
31.6%

Academia Puerto Cabello
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

32.7%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

24.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gran Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gran Valencia's form might have worsened.

Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Academia Puerto Cabello's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Valencia than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (+5%)

Gran Valencia - Academia Puerto Cabello Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Gran Valencia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Puerto Cabello is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Puerto Cabello could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Puerto Cabello will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gran Valencia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Gran Valencia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gran Valencia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
01.08.21	Aragua - Gran Valencia	1:0 ✺
25.07.21	Gran Valencia - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
16.07.21	Deportivo Lara - Gran Valencia	5:1 ✺
03.07.21	Gran Valencia - Deportivo La Guaira	0:0 ✺
26.06.21	Yaracuyanos - Gran Valencia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLTT
- Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.07.21	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2 ✺
17.07.21	Yaracuyanos - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:1 ✺
08.07.21	Academia Puerto Cabello - Carabobo	0:0 ✺
02.07.21	Academia Puerto Cabello - Aragua	1:0 ✺
24.06.21	Deportivo Lara - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
17.06.21	Academia Puerto Cabello - Gran Valencia	1:1
29.04.21	Gran Valencia - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:0

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