Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)

Referee: Etayo G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Granada		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.05	3.5	Watch
	2.25	3.05	3.25	Watch
	2.31	3.14	3.51
	2.73	3.12	2.69	Watch
	2.24	3.18	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.73)	3.11 ↓ (3.12)	3.24 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
40.5%

Draw
30.4%

Cádiz
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

30.3%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

31.1%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Granada's performance.

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cádiz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cádiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.5%	8.1%	6.5%

Granada - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 53 - 85.5%). Cádiz will win (votes: 4 - 6.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 76.7% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Granada (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Granada will win (35 of 41 users predict this - 85.37%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 42 Selected Experts predict this event. Granada (votes: 36 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 6 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zidane L. (G) 2. Casadesus P. 5. Lama M. 28. Oppong O. 22. Diallo B. 20. Ruiz S. (C) 4. Alcaraz R. 8. Aleman P. 7. Sola A. 19. Pascual J. 17. Faye S.	13. Aznar V. (G) 20. Carcelen I. 14. Kovacevic B. 6. Ortega I. 21. Climent M. 8. Fernandez A. (C) 15. Ortuno S. 11. Suso 22. Ontiveros J. 19. de la Rosa J. 17. Camara D.
Substitutes
11. Arnaiz J. M. 13. Astralaga A. (G) 23. Gagnidze L. 18. Hongla M. 3. Hormigo D. 30. Joel Akogo G. 26. Rodelas S. 21. Saenz P. 14. Trigueros M. 24. Williams L.	5. Diakite M. 18. Diarra Y. 34. Diaz Peregrina J. 27. Fernandez P. 1. Gil D. (G) 24. Gonzalez J. 9. Marti R. 2. Moreno J. 10. Ocampo B. 33. Pereira R. 12. Tabatadze I. 7. Ugiagbe E.
Coaches
Rojo Martin J.	Garitano G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Pascual J. 🟨,
55', Ontiveros J. ↓, Tabatadze I. ↑,
55', Fernandez A. ↓, Diakite M. ↑,
67', Sola A. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
70', Carcelen I. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
71', de la Rosa J. ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
72', Ortega I. 🟨,
76', Diarra Y. 🟨,
80', Pascual J. ↓, Gagnidze L. ↑,
80', Aleman P. ↓, Saenz P. ↑,
82', Camara D. ↓, Marti R. ↑,
90', Pacheta 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Granada won 1.

Granada is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cádiz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Granada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Granada: Arnaiz J. M. (Injury) Bouldini M. (Injury) Hongla M. (Injury) Trigueros M. (Surgery)

There will not play in Cádiz: Caicedo A. (Inactive) Fali (Knee Injury) Gonzalez J. (Ankle Injury) Hernandez L. (Knee Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Granada won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 0.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Granada won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
17.10.25	FC Andorra - Granada	0:0 ✺
10.10.25	Granada - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Granada - Real Sociedad B	5:2 ✺
28.09.25	Huesca - Granada	0:1 ✺
22.09.25	Burgos - Granada	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TTWWT
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
20.10.25	Cádiz - Burgos	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	Cádiz - Huesca	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Las Palmas - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Cádiz - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Málaga - Cádiz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.07.25	Cádiz - Granada	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
16.03.25	Cádiz - Granada	1:0
23.11.24	Granada - Cádiz	0:0
Spanish LaLiga
29.03.24	Cádiz - Granada	1:0
03.01.24	Granada - Cádiz	2:0
28.02.22	Granada - Cádiz	0:0
13.12.21	Cádiz - Granada	1:1

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