Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Ciudad Deportiva del Granada (Granada)


	Granada B		Marbellí

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.05	3.05
	2.19	3.12	3.24	Watch
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.21	3.29	3.19
	2.28	2.9	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.63)	3.07 ↑ (3)	3.14 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada B
41.3%

Draw
29.7%

Marbellí
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

30.1%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

30.2%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Granada B's performance.

Marbellí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marbellí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Granada B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbellí than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marbellí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Granada B - Marbellí Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Granada B (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Granada B (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Lolo Baeza ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Carmona K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 🟥,
78', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Granada B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Marbelli	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13
8	Granada CF B	5	2	1	2	7:4	3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
20.12.25	Mancha Real - Granada B	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Granada B - Arenas Armilla	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Churriana de la Vega - Granada B	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Granada B - Torreperogil	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Atlético Porcuna - Granada B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLWW
- FC Marbellí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
21.12.25	Marbellí - Huétor Vega	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Huétor Tájar - Marbellí	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Marbellí - Melilla B	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Martos - Marbellí	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Marbellí - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWTL

Granada B - Marbellí: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide