Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 19

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Chapín (Jerez)


	Xerez CD		Granada B

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.2	4.8
	1.71	3.25	4.9
	1.73	3.28	4.89	Watch
	1.72	3.32	5.01
	1.71	3.25	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.63)	3.26 ↓ (3.41)	4.9 ↓ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez CD
53.4%

Draw
28%

Granada B
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26.7%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

25.1%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez CD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Granada B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xerez CD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Xerez CD - Granada B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Garcia N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90', Oppong O. 🟥,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Xerez in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Granada B has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Granada B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Xerez is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Xerez to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Xerez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.01.25	UCAM Murcia - Xerez CD	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Linares Deportivo - Xerez CD	0:2 ✺
15.12.24	Xerez CD - Xerez Deportivo	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Xerez CD - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Don Benito - Xerez CD	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWTWW
- Granada B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
11.01.25	Granada B - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Granada B - Villanovense	2:2 ✺
15.12.24	Linense - Granada B	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Granada B - Águilas	1:3 ✺
30.11.24	Orihuela - Granada B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.09.24	Granada B - Xerez CD	0:1

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