Match Info

Super League - Relegation Group - Round 37

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Letzigrund Stadion (Zürich)

Referee: Wolfensberger S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2


	Grasshoppers		Winterthur

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3	Watch
	2.18	3.5	2.98
	2.3	3.6	3.16
	2.23	3.42	3.22	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.19	3.59	2.99	Watch
	1.71	3.8	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.74)	3.54 ↓ (3.9)	3.19 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grasshoppers
44.1%

Draw
26.5%

Winterthur
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

23.7%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

23.1%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grasshoppers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grasshoppers's form might have worsened.

Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Winterthur's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grasshoppers than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grasshoppers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Winterthur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	17.6%	35.3%

Grasshoppers - Winterthur Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Grasshoppers will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Winterthur will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grasshoppers: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Winterthur (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Winterthur (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Hammel J. (G) 2. Abels D. (C) 20. Ngom M. 27. Kohler S. 57. Rissi N. 5. Imourane H. 54. Krasniqi S. 8. Meyer T. 14. Zvonarek L. 10. Asp J. 99. Frey M.	1. Kapino S. (C) 24. Sidler S. 21. Luthi L. 31. Kryeziu M. 18. Diaby S. 23. Kasami P. 10. Schneider R. 45. Jankewitz A. 8. Golliard T. 17. Hunziker A. 99. Burkart N.
Substitutes
6. Abrashi A. 30. Beka I. 11. Diarrassouba S. 1. Glaus N. (G) 18. Lee Young-Jun 16. Mantini M. 52. Marques S. 4. Mikulic L. 31. Ullmann M.	16. Arnold R. 9. Buess R. 44. Cueni S. 6. Essiam E. 35. Maksutaj L. 37. Maluvunu E. 3. Smith R. 75. Spagnoli A. (G) 19. Ulrich D.
Coaches
Zeidler P.	Rahmen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Kasami P. ⚽, Sidler S. (A),
10', 0 - 2, Kasami P. ⚽,
18', Imourane H. ↓, Lee Young-Jun ↑,
28', Abels D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', Meyer T. 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, Abels D. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Rissi N. ↓, Ullmann M. ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Lee Young-Jun ⚽, Krasniqi S. (A),
63', Kryeziu M. 🟨,
64', Lee Young-Jun 🟨,
67', Sidler S. ↓, Maluvunu E. ↑,
67', Diaby S. ↓, Smith R. ↑,
67', Kryeziu M. ↓, Arnold R. ↑,
70', 3 - 2, Abels D. ⚽, Asp J. (A),
77', Jankewitz A. ↓, Buess R. ↑,
83', Ngom M. 🟨,
83', Burkart N. ↓, Ulrich D. ↑,
87', Krasniqi S. ↓, Marques S. ↑,
90+5', Frey M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grasshoppers won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Grasshoppers is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grasshoppers won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Grasshoppers won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	13:24	-11	8

Last Results with these Odds

Winterthur - the odds 4.03 are the expected chance of winning is 22.98%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grasshoppers
Swiss Super League
09.05.26	Zürich - Grasshoppers	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Grasshoppers - Servette	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Grasshoppers - Luzern	1:2 ✺
Swiss Cup
18.04.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Grasshoppers	2:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
11.04.26	Winterthur - Grasshoppers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLW
- FC Winterthur
Swiss Super League
09.05.26	Winterthur - Lausanne-Sport	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Winterthur - Zürich	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Servette - Winterthur	5:3 ✺
11.04.26	Winterthur - Grasshoppers	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Lausanne-Sport - Winterthur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
11.04.26	Winterthur - Grasshoppers	0:2
08.11.25	Winterthur - Grasshoppers	0:1
24.08.25	Grasshoppers - Winterthur	2:2
03.05.25	Winterthur - Grasshoppers	2:0
19.04.25	Grasshoppers - Winterthur	0:1
23.11.24	Grasshoppers - Winterthur	1:1
05.10.24	Winterthur - Grasshoppers	1:0

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