Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 2

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Merkur-Arena (Graz)

Referee: Barmaksiz S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Sport Austria 1
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sky Go Germany
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Grazer AK		Austria Lustenau

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.50	4.00	Watch
	1.90	3.40	3.90
	1.90	3.40	3.75
	1.92	3.56	4.29
	1.99	3.54	3.74	Watch
	1.89	3.50	4.25
	1.86	3.60	4.43	Watch
	1.89	3.45	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.51)	3.49 ↑ (3.36)	4.05 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grazer AK
49.6%

Draw
27%

Austria Lustenau
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

30.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grazer AK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grazer AK's performance.

Austria Lustenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austria Lustenau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grazer AK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Lustenau than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austria Lustenau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Grazer AK - Austria Lustenau Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Grazer will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Austria Lustenau will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grazer: 79.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grazer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Stankovic C. (G) 82. Owusu B. 2. Pines D. 3. Vraa L. 28. Anderson 6. Hermesh L. 34. Michorl P. 32. Klassen L. 10. Lichtenberger C. (C) 25. Hofleitner A. 11. Grosse M.	27. Schierl D. (G) 7. Gmeiner F. 31. Maak M. (C) 29. Pertlwieser N. 3. Danilo Soares 8. Kacuri D. 11. Weixelbraun D. 20. Afrifa L. 19. Delaye S. 24. Diarra S. 14. Benjamin P.
Substitutes
70. Brown Ugo N. F. 48. Gragger M. 30. Hasenhuttl C. 8. Koch T. 9. Maderner D. 17. Mandey S. 72. Markovic P. 1. Meierhofer J. (G) 7. Smits A.	30. Bohm P. (G) 15. Chukwu E. 17. Gashi A. 23. Grabher P. 26. Ibertsberger L. 61. Ismailcebioglu H. 9. Jastremski L. 39. Verinac A. 18. Voisine R.
Coaches
Feldhofer F.	Mader M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Pines D. ⚽, Lichtenberger C. (A),
21', Michorl P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Benjamin P. ↓, Verinac A. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Kacuri D. ⚽, Verinac A. (A),
60', Grosse M. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
60', Anderson ↓, Gragger M. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Hofleitner A. ⚽, Michorl P. (A),
70', Lichtenberger C. ↓, Koch T. ↑,
71', Weixelbraun D. ↓, Jastremski L. ↑,
71', Afrifa L. ↓, Gashi A. ↑,
79', Diarra S. ↓, Grabher P. ↑,
79', Delaye S. ↓, Chukwu E. ↑,
85', Hofleitner A. ↓, Maderner D. ↑,
85', Hermesh L. ↓, Mandey S. ↑,
88', Verinac A. 🟨,
90+2', Chukwu E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Austria Lustenau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Grazer is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Grazer: Koch T. (Muscle Injury) Trummer T. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Grazer won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now

A. Lustenau: 0.44% Grazer AK: 0.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	A. Lustenau	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8
9	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	6:16	-10	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grazer AK
Austrian Bundesliga
31.07.26	LASK Linz - Grazer AK	3:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
25.07.26	Donaufeld Wien - Grazer AK	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Grazer AK - Kapfenberger SV	1:0 ✺
07.07.26	Grazer AK - First Vienna	2:4 ✺
24.06.26	Grazer AK - Slovan Bratislava	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWLL
- Austria Lustenau
Austrian Bundesliga
02.08.26	Austria Lustenau - Ried	1:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
25.07.26	Kremser - Austria Lustenau	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Nürnberg II - Austria Lustenau	1:0 ✺
15.07.26	Bregenz - Austria Lustenau	1:1 ✺
10.07.26	Austria Lustenau - Aarau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
26.11.21	Grazer AK - Austria Lustenau	0:0
25.07.21	Austria Lustenau - Grazer AK	2:1
12.05.21	Grazer AK - Austria Lustenau	2:0
11.12.20	Austria Lustenau - Grazer AK	3:1
06.06.20	Grazer AK - Austria Lustenau	1:1
18.08.19	Austria Lustenau - Grazer AK	0:2

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