The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grebbestad 50.8%
Draw 23.3%
Vänersborgs FK 26%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.5%
24.1%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.9%
22.5%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grebbestad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Vänersborgs FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grebbestad than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vänersborgs FK than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Grebbestad - Vänersborgs FK Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 3)
65', 0 - 1, Halawi F. ⚽,
69', 1 - 1, Niakhate S. ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, Hultberg H. ⚽,
82', 2 - 2, Salihi E. ⚽,
87', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 5th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grebbestad won 3.
Grebbestad has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Vänersborgs FK is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Grebbestad may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Grebbestad has faced a series of away games on the road.
Grebbestad is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Grebbestad has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:45 (averaging 1.6:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Grebbestad against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 11:15 goals (averaging 1.4:1.9 per game).