Match Info

UEFA Nations League - League A - Round 3

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Albania	20:45	SuperSport 3
Argentina	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	04:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	20:45	A Spor, DAZN
Bolivia	14:45	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	15:45	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Colombia	13:45	ESPN 2
Croatia	20:45	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 6
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Ecuador	13:45	ESPN 2
Estonia	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	UEFA TV
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+
France	20:45	L'Equipe Live Foot
Georgia	22:45	Silk Sport 1
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	Alpha TV, Nova Sports Start
Hungary	20:45	Arena 4
Iceland	18:45	Viaplay
India	00:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	01:45	K-Vision
Israel	21:45	Sport 2
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 3
Lithuania	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	12:45	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	20:45	NPO 1, NPO 3, NPO Start, Ziggo Go
New Zealand	07:45	beIN Connect
Nigeria	19:45	Supersport Maximo 2
North Macedonia	20:45	Arena Premium 3
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	23:45	Tapmad
Paraguay	14:45	ESPN 2
Peru	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	20:45	Polsat Sport 2
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	21:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	20:45	SportKlub 5
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	03:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	21:45	A Spor
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Greece		Netherlands

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.60	2.15
	2.95	3.40	2.30
	3.10	3.40	2.20
	3.30	3.60	2.25
	3.41	3.75	2.12	Watch
	3.25	3.55	2.18
	3.15	3.60	2.29	Watch
	2.95	3.50	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.8)	3.55 ↑ (3.25)	2.21 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greece
30.1%

Draw
26.8%

Netherlands
43.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.4%

28.5%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greece has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Greece's performance.

Netherlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.8%	11.8%	80.4%

Greece - Netherlands Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Netherlands (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Greece (1.67) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Netherlands will win (40 of 50 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.91% – 91.09%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Greece (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Netherlands (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Tzolakis K. (G) Hull City 17. Saliakas M. Olympiacos Piraeus 4. Mavropanos K. West Ham 5. Retsos P. Olympiacos Piraeus 21. Tsimikas K. Liverpool 19. Karetsas K. Dortmund 6. Kourbelis D. Asteras Tripolis 15. Androutsos A. OFI Crete 10. Tzolis C. Arsenal 14. Pavlidis V. (C) Benfica 8. Ioannidis F. Sporting CP	1. Verbruggen B. (G) Brighton 22. Dumfries D. Real Madrid 12. Timber J. Arsenal 4. van Dijk V. (C) Liverpool 15. van de Ven M. Tottenham 18. Veerman J. Dortmund 16. Til G. PSV 6. Timber Q. Crystal Palace 7. Summerville C. Al Hilal 17. Meerdink M. AZ Alkmaar 11. van Bommel R. PSV
Substitutes
9. Douvikas A. Como 11. Kostoulas C. Brighton 3. Koulierakis K. AS Roma 22. Kyriakopoulos G. Panathinaikos 13. Mandas C. (G) Lazio 7. Masouras G. Neom SC 18. Michailidis G. PAOK 23. Mouzakitis C. Hull City 16. Tetteh A. Panathinaikos 2. Tsapras T. Panathinaikos 1. Vlachodimos O. (G) Sevilla 20. Zafeiris C. PAOK	5. Ake N. Fenerbahce 23. Flekken M. (G) Bayer Leverkusen 2. Frimpong J. Liverpool 8. Gravenberch R. Liverpool 3. Hato J. Chelsea 20. Koopmeiners T. Juventus 10. Lang N. Napoli 14. Reijnders T. Al Qadsiah 13. Roefs R. (G) Sunderland 19. Taylor K. Lazio 21. Zechiel G. Feyenoord 9. Zirkzee J. Manchester United
Coaches
Jovanovic I.	Xavi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', Tzolis C. ↓, Masouras G. ↑,
23', 1 - 0, Ioannidis F. ⚽, Masouras G. (A),
45+2', 2 - 0, Masouras G. ⚽, Ioannidis F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', van Bommel R. ↓, Lang N. ↑,
46', Til G. ↓, Reijnders T. ↑,
46', Timber Q. ↓, Gravenberch R. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, van Dijk V. ⚽, Veerman J. (A),
67', Tzolakis K. 🟨,
70', Meerdink M. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
71', Ioannidis F. ↓, Tetteh A. ↑,
71', Pavlidis V. ↓, Zafeiris C. ↑,
76', Lang N. 🟨,
76', Saliakas M. 🟨,
78', Timber J. ↓, Zechiel G. ↑,
83', Androutsos A. ↓, Douvikas A. ↑,
83', Karetsas K. ↓, Michailidis G. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Reijnders T. ⚽,

Preview

Greece is ranked FIFA: 46., and Netherlands is ranked FIFA: 9..

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Netherlands holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Greece: Giannoulis D. (Inactive) Hatzidiakos P. (Inactive) Konstantelias G. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Netherlands: Brobbey B. (Injury) Depay M. (Coach's decision) Gakpo C. (Ankle Injury) Geertruida L. (Injury) Kluivert J. (Muscle Injury) Malen D. (Knee Injury) Wieffer M. (Knee Injury) de Jong F. (Knee Injury) de Ligt M. (Back Injury).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Greece has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 0.7:1.7 goals per game).

Outrights of UEFA Nations League for now

Netherlands: 6.41% Greece: 3.08%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greece
UEFA Nations League
27.09.26	Germany - Greece	0:1 ✺
24.09.26	Serbia - Greece	1:2 ✺
Friendly
07.06.26	Greece - Italy	0:1 ✺
04.06.26	Sweden - Greece	2:2 ✺
31.03.26	Hungary - Greece	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 WWLTT
- Netherlands
UEFA Nations League
27.09.26	Serbia - Netherlands	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Netherlands - Germany	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
29.06.26	Netherlands - Morocco	1:2 penalties ✺
25.06.26	Tunisia - Netherlands	1:3 ✺
20.06.26	Netherlands - Sweden	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro
16.10.23	Greece - Netherlands	0:1
07.09.23	Netherlands - Greece	3:0
Friendly
01.09.16	Netherlands - Greece	1:2

Greece - Netherlands