Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 17

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday


	Green Gully		Port Melbourne Sharks

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.34	5	7
	1.45	4.15	5.5	Watch
	1.49	4.48	5.5
	1.51	4.41	5.73	Watch
	1.35	4.6	7.5
	1.42	4.33	6.11	Watch
	1.45	4.15	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.35)	4.45 ↓ (5.11)	6.12 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Green Gully
64.3%

Draw
20.7%

Port Melbourne Sharks
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

17.9%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

15.7%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Green Gully has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Port Melbourne Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Green Gully than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Melbourne Sharks than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Green Gully - Port Melbourne Sharks Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Green Gully (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Port Melbourne (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Green Gully (votes: 1 - 50%). Port Melbourne (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Green Gully won 2.

In recent matches, Green Gully has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Port Melbourne is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Green Gully is the clear favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Green Gully won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:31. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Green Gully won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.5:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Green Gully SC
Australian NPL Victoria
30.05.25	Hume City - Green Gully	3:2 ✺
23.05.25	Oakleigh Cannons - Green Gully	3:1 ✺
16.05.25	Green Gully - Dandenong Thunder	3:1 ✺
09.05.25	Green Gully - Avondale	5:2 ✺
02.05.25	Preston Lions - Green Gully	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLWWL
- Port Melbourne Sharks
Australian NPL Victoria
30.05.25	Oakleigh Cannons - Port Melbourne Sharks	4:1 ✺
23.05.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Avondale	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	South Melbourne - Port Melbourne Sharks	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Heidelberg United - Port Melbourne Sharks	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Altona Magic	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
28.02.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Green Gully	1:0
20.07.24	Port Melbourne Sharks - Green Gully	3:2
19.04.24	Green Gully - Port Melbourne Sharks	1:2
09.06.23	Port Melbourne Sharks - Green Gully	1:3
10.03.23	Green Gully - Port Melbourne Sharks	3:2
03.06.22	Green Gully - Port Melbourne Sharks	1:3
05.03.22	Port Melbourne Sharks - Green Gully	2:0

Green Gully - Port Melbourne Sharks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide