Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 17

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: John Ilhan Memorial Reserve (Nasiol) (Melbourne)


	Hume City		Green Gully

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	4.20	5.00
	1.45	4.20	5.25
	1.59	4.41	5.05
	1.57	3.98	5.30	Watch
	1.53	4.00	5.00
	1.60	4.16	4.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.54)	4.16 ↑ (3.82)	5.09 ↓ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hume City
59.7%

Draw
22.2%

Green Gully
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.8%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

22.2%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hume City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Green Gully has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Green Gully than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hume City - Green Gully Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hume City (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Hume City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, ⚽,
60', 2 - 2, ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hume City won 3.

Hume City has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Green Gully is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Hume City is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Hume City will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hume City won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hume City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hume City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
05.06.26	Bentleigh Greens - Hume City	1:5 ✺
30.05.26	Hume City - South Melbourne	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Altona Magic - Hume City	1:3 ✺
16.05.26	Hume City - Avondale	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Hume City	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWWW
- Green Gully SC
Australian NPL Victoria
05.06.26	Green Gully - Avondale	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Green Gully	0:0 ✺
22.05.26	Green Gully - Heidelberg United	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Green Gully - Melbourne City Youth	1:3 ✺
08.05.26	St Albans Dinamo - Green Gully	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
06.03.26	Green Gully - Hume City	1:1
30.05.25	Hume City - Green Gully	3:2
21.02.25	Green Gully - Hume City	1:1
24.05.24	Green Gully - Hume City	1:2
17.02.24	Hume City - Green Gully	2:0
15.07.23	Hume City - Green Gully	0:1
14.04.23	Green Gully - Hume City	1:3

Hume City - Green Gully: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide