The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Greenock Morton 25.4%
Draw 28.6%
Arbroath 46%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.6%
28.5%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
25.4%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Arbroath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Greenock Morton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arbroath, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Greenock Morton - Arbroath Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Arbroath will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Harrison E. (G) 35. Black D. 6. Moore K. 52. Fairnie L. 28. Murphy L. 21. Gillespie G. (C) 20. Sandilands C. 7. Garrity M. 47. Cochrane H. 11. Mcluckie B. 10. Brophy E.
1. McAdams A. (G) 22. Dewar C. 16. Watson C. 5. O'Brien T. (C) 26. Mackie S. 20. Constable S. 23. Bonnar J. 8. Flynn R. 14. McKenna M. 11. Dow R. 9. Winter A.
Substitutes
37. Burgess C. 25. Carse M. 40. Greenock A. 31. Kinnear B. (G) 36. Lang H. 29. O'Halloran M. 39. Okunzuwa O. 30. O’Toole J. 8. Savoury G.
6. Beadling T. 18. Beattie C. 19. Daly C. 7. Gold D. 3. Hamilton C. 21. Pettigrew J. (G) 10. Reilly G.
Coaches
Murray I.
Hamilton C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Bonnar J. ⚽, Mackie S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mcluckie B. ↓, O'Halloran M. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Black D. ⚽, Garrity M. (A),
54', Cochrane H. 🟨,
62', Gillespie G. 🟨,
67', Winter A. ↓, Reilly G. ↑,
72', McKenna M. ↓, Daly C. ↑,
77', Gillespie G. ↓, Savoury G. ↑,
82', Bonnar J. ↓, Beadling T. ↑,
87', Brophy E. ↓, Carse M. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, O'Brien T. ⚽,
90+5', Fairnie L. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 3.
Greenock has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Arbroath has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Arbroath might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Greenock won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
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Harrison E. (G) 
Black D. 
Beadling T. 
