The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Greenock Morton 16.9%
Draw 23%
Raith Rovers 60.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.6%
23.9%
57.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.2%
23.3%
58.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Greenock Morton - Raith Rovers Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Kinnear B. (G) 2. Ballantyne C. 5. Croker P. 3. Longridge J. 52. Fairnie L. 21. Gillespie G. (C) 27. Wilson I. 20. Sandilands C. 19. Robertson K. 17. Bashir S. 7. Garrity M.
1. Rae J. (G) 2. Rowe J. 6. Baird J. 4. Hanlon P. 3. Delaney Z. 20. Brown S. (C) 8. Turner K. 11. Robertson J. 7. Lyall A. 15. Tiffoney S. 9. Oakley G.
Substitutes
35. Black D. 12. Borso D. 25. Carse M. 41. Murdoch S. (G) 28. Murphy L. 29. O'Halloran M. 30. O’Toole J.
23. Easton D. 5. Fordyce C. 18. McMullan P. 22. Millen R. 25. Montagu K. 16. Stevenson L. 10. Vaughan L.
Coaches
Murray I.
Imrie D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Rowe J. ⚽, Turner K. (A),
26', Croker P. 🟨,
31', Robertson J. ↓, Easton D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Garrity M. ⚽, Ballantyne C. (A),
55', Turner K. 🟨,
57', Bashir S. ↓, Borso D. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Oakley G. ⚽, Easton D. (A),
71', Lyall A. ↓, Vaughan L. ↑,
71', Turner K. ↓, Montagu K. ↑,
71', Longridge J. ↓, Murphy L. ↑,
83', Garrity M. ↓, Black D. ↑,
84', Easton D. ↓, Stevenson L. ↑,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 10th in the Relegation - League One and 2nd in the Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 0.
Greenock has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Raith has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Raith is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Greenock has recorded 5 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:26 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Greenock against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:8 goals (averaging 1.1:0.9 per game).
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
United-kingdom
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Kinnear B. (G) 
Croker P. 
Delaney Z. 
Borso D. 
