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Current Win Probability
Greuther Fürth 27.3%
Draw 24.9%
Kaiserslautern 47.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.3%
24.5%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
25%
35.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Greuther Fürth's form might have worsened.
Kaiserslautern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kaiserslautern's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Greuther Fürth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaiserslautern than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaiserslautern, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.8%
17.6%
70.6%
Greuther Fürth - Kaiserslautern Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Fürth will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Kaiserslautern will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kaiserslautern: 48.9% – 92.3%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
43. Prufrock S. (G) 2. Reich L. 5. Munz R. 4. Ziereis P. 40. Abrangao D. 33. Dietz M. 8. Olesen M. 30. Klaus F. 10. Hrgota B. (C) 24. John M. 9. Futkeu N.
25. Simoni S. (G) 4. Gyamfi M. 31. Sirch L. 37. Robinson L. 26. Joly P. 6. Kunze F. 8. Sahin S. 3. Kleinhansl F. 7. Ritter M. (C) 48. Alidou F. 15. Skytta N.
Substitutes
26. Boevink P. (G) 14. Consbruch J. 23. Dehm J. 37. Green J. 18. Higl F. 27. Itter G. 16. Keller A. 17. Konig N. 42. Sillah O.
27. Abiama D. 23. Afeez A. 33. Elvedi J. 22. Haas M. 19. Hanslik D. 1. Krahl J. (G) 20. Raschl T. 29. Tachie R. 13. Wekesser E.
Coaches
Kleine T.
Lieberknecht T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Skytta N. ⚽,
13', Joly P. 🟨,
35', Kunze F. 🟨,
39', Ziereis P. 🟨,
41', Skytta N. 🟨,
41', Olesen M. 🟨,
42', Kleine T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Kunze F. ↓, Afeez A. ↑,
64', Ritter M. ↓, Hanslik D. ↑,
73', Alidou F. ↓, Raschl T. ↑,
74', Afeez A. 🟨,
75', Abrangao D. ↓, Keller A. ↑,
75', Futkeu N. ↓, Higl F. ↑,
79', Kleinhansl F. 🟨,
81', Olesen M. ↓, Green J. ↑,
81', Reich L. ↓, Consbruch J. ↑,
82', Sahin S. ↓, Elvedi J. ↑,
82', Joly P. ↓, Haas M. ↑,
84', Klaus F. 🟨,
90', Sillah O. 🟨,
90', Dietz M. ↓, Sillah O. ↑,
90+3', Sillah O. 🟨,
90+7', Simoni S. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 2.
Fürth has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kaiserslautern is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Kaiserslautern may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:38. (average 1.2:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Fürth won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.4:2.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Greuther Fürth - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 39.27%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.