The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Greuther Fürth 31.4%
Draw 25.2%
Karlsruher 43.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
24.5%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
24.9%
36%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Greuther Fürth's form might have worsened.
Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karlsruher's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Greuther Fürth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karlsruher, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27.3%
9.1%
63.6%
Greuther Fürth - Karlsruher Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Fürth will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Karlsruher will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Karlsruher: 35.2% – 92%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Karlsruher (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karlsruher (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Boevink P. (G) 2. Reich L. 17. Konig N. 27. Itter G. 40. Abrangao D. 33. Dietz M. 24. John M. 30. Klaus F. (C) 18. Higl F. 16. Keller A. 9. Futkeu N.
1. Bernat C. (G) 22. Kobald C. 6. Rapp N. 4. Beifus M. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 7. Burnic D. 20. Herold D. 25. Egloff L. 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 11. Forster P. 24. Schleusener F.
Substitutes
22. Cabrera J. 14. Consbruch J. 23. Dehm J. 37. Green J. 10. Hrgota B. 8. Olesen M. 43. Prufrock S. (G) 42. Sillah O. 7. Srbeny D.
13. Fukuda S. 35. Geller R. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 34. Kritzer M. 44. Laghrissi E. 16. Muller A. 17. Opitz L. 15. Scholl P. 9. Simic R.
Coaches
Kleine T.
Eichner C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Schleusener F. ⚽, Kobald C. (A),
25', Beifus M. 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Egloff L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', Wanitzek M. 🟨,
58', Egloff L. ↓, Muller A. ↑,
69', Higl F. ↓, Hrgota B. ↑,
69', Abrangao D. ↓, Green J. ↑,
69', Keller A. ↓, Consbruch J. ↑,
73', Burnic D. ↓, Kritzer M. ↑,
74', Forster P. ↓, Simic R. ↑,
79', 0 - 3, Wanitzek M. ⚽, Schleusener F. (A),
83', Futkeu N. ↓, Sillah O. ↑,
83', Dietz M. ↓, Olesen M. ↑,
86', Schleusener F. ↓, Opitz L. ↑,
86', Kobald C. ↓, Scholl P. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, Hrgota B. ⚽, Klaus F. (A),
90+5', 1 - 4, Wanitzek M. ⚽, Muller A. (A),
90+7', Rapp N. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 1.
Fürth is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Karlsruher has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Fürth: Banse S.
(Knee Injury)
Bjarnason B.
(Muscle Injury)
Korber N.
(Shoulder Injury)
Munz R.
(Illness)
Schlieck T.
(Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Karlsruher: Ben Farhat L.
(Broken Leg)
Franke M.
(Back Injury)
Jung S.
(Back Injury)
Sihlaroglu E.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 29:34. (average 1.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Fürth won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.5:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Greuther Fürth - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.89%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.