The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 34.9%
Draw 28.4%
Grimsby Town 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
28.2%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.2%
27.9%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-2%)
Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Booth T. (G) 2. Billington L. 18. Connolly J. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 14. Finney C. 8. Thomas C. 6. Sanders M. H. 26. O'Reilly T. 19. Lunt O. 20. Agius C. 36. Tezgel E.
1. Pym C. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 21. Warren T. 17. McJannet C. 3. Sweeney J. 20. McEachran G. 14. Amaluzor J. 4. Green K. (C) 7. Walker J. 30. Vernam C. 9. Kabia J.
Substitutes
16. Golding J. 17. Holicek M. 3. Hutchinson R. 7. Lankester J. 4. Mingi J. J. 31. Moult L. 13. Waller S. (G)
18. Burns D. 33. Casper C. (G) 8. Khouri E. 32. Rose D. 16. Staunton R. 11. Svanthorsson J. 15. Turi G. D.
Coaches
Bell L.
Artell D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Walker J. ⚽, Amaluzor J. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Tezgel E. ⚽, O'Reilly T. (A),
37', 2 - 1, Tezgel E. ⚽, O'Reilly T. (A),
45+1', 2 - 2, Walker J. ⚽, Amaluzor J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', Walker J. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
79', O'Reilly T. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
79', Thomas C. ↓, Holicek M. ↑,
79', Kabia J. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
80', Amaluzor J. ↓, Svanthorsson J. ↑,
86', Finney C. ↓, Hutchinson R. ↑,
87', 3 - 2, Tezgel E. ⚽, Sanders M. H. (A),
87', Tezgel E. 🟨,
89', Sweeney J. 🟨,
90', Warren T. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
90', Sweeney J. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
90+2', Lunt O. ↓, Golding J. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Crewe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Grimsby has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Crewe: March J.
(Inactive)
Powell J.
(Groin Injury)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tharme D.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Crewe: Bogle O.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H.
(Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Crewe Alexandra - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.77%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Grimsby Town - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 35.05%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Booth T. (G) 
Connolly J. 
Pym C. (G) 
Walker J. 
Kabia J. 
Holicek M. 
Svanthorsson J. 
Turi G. D. 
Artell D. 
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