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Current Win Probability
Grimsby Town 49%
Draw 27.8%
Colchester United 23.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.7%
24.8%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
23.8%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grimsby Town's form might have worsened.
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grimsby Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.9%
4.5%
4.5%
Grimsby Town - Colchester United Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Grimsby (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Grimsby (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Grimsby Town will win
(20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Grimsby Town will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Colchester (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pym C. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 21. Warren T. 17. McJannet C. 3. Sweeney J. 20. McEachran G. 18. Burns D. 4. Green K. (C) 8. Khouri E. 30. Vernam C. 9. Kabia J.
1. Macey M. (G) 30. Vincent-Young K. 5. Tucker J. (C) 24. Araujo H. 3. Iandolo E. 8. Bishop T. 16. Read A. 14. Lisbie K. 10. Payne J. 7. Anderson H. 33. Mbick M.
Substitutes
14. Amaluzor J. 33. Casper C. (G) 32. Rose D. 10. Soonsup-Bell J. 16. Staunton R. 11. Svanthorsson J. 7. Walker J.
21. Edwards O. 11. Gordon J. 2. Hunt R. 44. Kuffour S. 26. Powell J. 12. Smith T. (G) 17. Williams J.
Coaches
Artell D.
Cowley D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Green K. ⚽, Vernam C. (A),
25', McEachran G. 🟨,
27', Khouri E. 🟨,
27', Tucker J. 🟨,
33', Payne J. 🟨,
35', Iandolo E. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Mbick M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Read A. 🟨,
56', Burns D. ↓, Svanthorsson J. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Mbick M. ⚽, Araujo H. (A),
70', Lisbie K. ↓, Edwards O. ↑,
73', Kabia J. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
73', Vernam C. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
82', McEachran G. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
82', Sweeney J. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
86', Green K. 🟨,
88', Mbick M. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
90+2', Payne J. ↓, Hunt R. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Grimsby is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tharme D.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Colchester: Akande A.
(Knee Injury)
Flanagan T.
(Calf Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Colchester: Goodwin W.
(Thigh Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).
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Pym C. (G) 
Rodgers H. 
Burns D. 
Vincent-Young K. 
Svanthorsson J. 
Walker J. 
Artell D. 
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